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The influence of pension plan risk on equity risk and credit ratings: a study of FTSE100 companies

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  • MCKILLOP, DONAL
  • POGUE, MICHAEL

Abstract

This paper examines the relationship between funding risk of defined benefit pension plans and both corporate debt ratings and equity risk measures for FTSE100 companies. Panel based models highlighted a direct relationship between pension plan risk and equity risk. Pension risk was also demonstrated to be factored into credit ratings with the analysis highlighting that the greater the pension risk, the greater the probability of obtaining a lower debt rating. From a rating agency viewpoint, this is positive news, particularly at present when agencies are being criticized for a perceived failure to reflect sub-prime mortgage problems in firm-specific ratings.

Suggested Citation

  • Mckillop, Donal & Pogue, Michael, 2009. "The influence of pension plan risk on equity risk and credit ratings: a study of FTSE100 companies," Journal of Pension Economics and Finance, Cambridge University Press, vol. 8(4), pages 405-428, October.
    • Handle: RePEc:cup:jpenef:v:8:y:2009:i:04:p:405-428_00
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    Cited by:

    1. Li, Zezeng & Kara, Alper, 2022. "Pension de-risking choice and firm risk: Traditional versus innovative strategies," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 81(C).
    2. Heusel, Nicola & Mager, Ferdinand, 2023. "Pension funding and the cross section of stock returns - The case of Germany," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 150(C).
    3. Almaghrabi, Khadija S., 2023. "Non‐operating risk and cash holdings: Evidence from pension risk," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 152(C).
    4. Randy Jorgensen & Tirimba Obonyo & John R. Wingender, 2024. "De-risking pension plans: the impact on firm value from lump-sum buyouts," Risk Management, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 26(3), pages 1-19, September.
    5. Gaobo Pang & Mark Warshawsky, 2013. "Comparing Costs and Risks of Retirement Plans for Sponsors," Risk Management and Insurance Review, American Risk and Insurance Association, vol. 16(2), pages 195-217, September.
    6. Luca Larcher & Francis Breedon, 2020. "Discounting and the market valuation of defined benefit pensions," Working Papers 932, Queen Mary University of London, School of Economics and Finance.

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