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Government Intervention and Strategic Trading in the U.S. Treasury Market

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  • Pasquariello, Paolo
  • Roush, Jennifer
  • Vega, Clara

Abstract

We study the impact of permanent open market operations (POMOs) by the Federal Reserve on U.S. Treasury market liquidity. Using a parsimonious model of speculative trading, we conjecture that i) this form of government intervention improves market liquidity, contrary to conclusions drawn by existing literature; and ii) the extent of this improvement depends on the market’s information environment. Evidence from a novel sample of Federal Reserve POMOs during the 2000s indicates that bid–ask spreads of on-the-run Treasury securities decline when POMOs are executed, by an amount increasing in proxies for information heterogeneity among speculators, fundamental volatility, and POMO policy uncertainty, consistent with our model.

Suggested Citation

  • Pasquariello, Paolo & Roush, Jennifer & Vega, Clara, 2020. "Government Intervention and Strategic Trading in the U.S. Treasury Market," Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis, Cambridge University Press, vol. 55(1), pages 117-157, February.
    • Handle: RePEc:cup:jfinqa:v:55:y:2020:i:1:p:117-157_4
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    Cited by:

    1. Huang, Shao’an & Qiu, Zhigang & Wang, Gaowang & Wang, Xiaodan, 2022. "Government intervention through informed trading in financial markets," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 141(C).
    2. Guo, Qi & Huang, Shao’an & Wang, Gaowang, 2024. "Stabilizing the financial markets through communication and informed trading," Journal of Financial Markets, Elsevier, vol. 69(C).
    3. Guo, Qi & Huang, Shao'an & Wang, Gaowang, 2022. "Stabilizing the Financial Markets through Informed Trading," MPRA Paper 115470, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    4. Noritaka Fukuma & Tomiyuki Kitamura & Kohei Maehashi & Naoki Matsuda & Keita Takemura & Kota Watanabe, 2024. "The Impact of Quantitative and Qualitative Easing and Yield Curve Control on the Functioning of the Japanese Government Bond Market," Bank of Japan Working Paper Series 24-E-9, Bank of Japan.
    5. Chen, Bin-xia & Sun, Yan-lin, 2024. "Financial market connectedness between the U.S. and China: A new perspective based on non-linear causality networks," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 90(C).
    6. Bulusu, Narayan, 2024. "Disentangling the supply and announcement effects of open market operations," Journal of Financial Markets, Elsevier, vol. 67(C).

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