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Empirical Evidence of Overbidding in M&A Contests

Author

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  • de Bodt, Eric
  • Cousin, Jean-Gabriel
  • Roll, Richard

Abstract

Surprisingly few papers have attempted to develop a direct empirical test for overbidding in merger and acquisition contests. We develop such a test grounded on a necessary condition for profit-maximizing bidding behavior. The test is not subject to endogeneity concerns. Our results strongly support the existence of overbidding. We provide evidence that overbidding is related to conflicts of interest, but also some indirect evidence that it arises from failing to fully account for the winner’s curse.

Suggested Citation

  • de Bodt, Eric & Cousin, Jean-Gabriel & Roll, Richard, 2018. "Empirical Evidence of Overbidding in M&A Contests," Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis, Cambridge University Press, vol. 53(4), pages 1547-1579, August.
    • Handle: RePEc:cup:jfinqa:v:53:y:2018:i:04:p:1547-1579_00
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    Cited by:

    1. Lauterbach, Beni & Mugerman, Yevgeny & Shemesh, Joshua, 2024. "Prospect theory in M&A: Do historical purchase prices affect merger offer premiums and announcement returns?," Journal of Behavioral and Experimental Finance, Elsevier, vol. 42(C).
    2. Grundl, Serafin & Zhu, Yu, 2023. "Robust inference in first-price auctions: Overbidding as an identifying restriction," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 235(2), pages 484-506.
    3. Bruyland, Evy & Lasfer, Meziane & De Maeseneire, Wouter & Song, Wei, 2019. "The performance of acquisitions by high default risk bidders," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 101(C), pages 37-58.
    4. Marta Arroyabe & Katrin Hussinger, 2024. "Acquisition experience and the winner’s curse in corporate acquisitions," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 56(27), pages 3247-3261, June.
    5. Lee, Kangbok & Joo, Sunghoon & Baik, Hyeoncheol & Han, Sumin & In, Joonhwan, 2020. "Unbalanced data, type II error, and nonlinearity in predicting M&A failure," Journal of Business Research, Elsevier, vol. 109(C), pages 271-287.

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