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The Interpretation of Unanticipated News Arrival and Analysts’ Skill

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  • Rubin, Amir
  • Segal, Benjamin
  • Segal, Dan

Abstract

Analysts’ functions are divided into discovery and interpretation roles, but distinguishing between the two is nontrivial. We conjecture that analysts’ interpretation skill can be gauged by their forecast revisions following material unanticipated news, in particular, following nonearnings 8-K reports, which arrive at the market unexpectedly. We establish that unanticipated 8-Ks are informative for analysts and find that analysts who are more likely to revise their forecasts following unanticipated 8-Ks provide more timely and accurate forecasts. We document a positive association between analysts’ tendency to react to unanticipated 8-Ks and market reaction to their recommendation changes, suggesting investors prefer these analysts’ opinions.

Suggested Citation

  • Rubin, Amir & Segal, Benjamin & Segal, Dan, 2017. "The Interpretation of Unanticipated News Arrival and Analysts’ Skill," Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis, Cambridge University Press, vol. 52(4), pages 1491-1518, August.
    • Handle: RePEc:cup:jfinqa:v:52:y:2017:i:04:p:1491-1518_00
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    Cited by:

    1. Rani Hoitash & Udi Hoitash & Ari Yezegel, 2021. "Can sell-side analysts’ experience, expertise and qualifications help mitigate the adverse effects of accounting reporting complexity?," Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting, Springer, vol. 57(3), pages 859-897, October.
    2. Jeffrey L. Callen & Ron Kaniel & Dan Segal, 2023. "Filing speed, information leakage, and price formation," Review of Accounting Studies, Springer, vol. 28(3), pages 1618-1656, September.
    3. Yang, Yanhua Sunny & Yung, Chris, 2024. "Do analysts distribute negative opinions earlier?," Journal of Financial Markets, Elsevier, vol. 67(C).
    4. Hyunkwon Cho & Robert Kim, 2021. "Asymmetric effects of voluntary disclosure on stock liquidity: evidence from 8‐K filings," Accounting and Finance, Accounting and Finance Association of Australia and New Zealand, vol. 61(1), pages 803-846, March.
    5. Cristi Gleason & Zhejia Ling & Rong Zhao, 2020. "Selective disclosure and the role of Form 8‐K in the post‐Reg FD era," Journal of Business Finance & Accounting, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 47(3-4), pages 365-396, March.
    6. Marshall A. Geiger & Sami Keskek & Abdullah Kumas, 2022. "Trading concentration and industry-specific information: an analysis of auto complaints," Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting, Springer, vol. 59(3), pages 913-937, October.

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