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The Dynamics of Performance Volatility and Firm Valuation

Author

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  • Chi, Jianxin Daniel
  • Su, Xunhua

Abstract

We construct a model to illustrate the dynamics of cash-flow volatility (CFV) and firm valuation. As a firm progressively invests in its growth opportunities, its book value increases and catches up with its market value, reducing the valuation multiple (Q). CFV decreases because of the diversification effect of investing in more market segments. We document a positive CFV–Q association, which varies with firm size, investment opportunities, and the correlation across market segments. Empirical findings strongly support the model’s predictions and are robust to alternative explanations offered by extant studies on firm growth, volatility, and valuation.

Suggested Citation

  • Chi, Jianxin Daniel & Su, Xunhua, 2017. "The Dynamics of Performance Volatility and Firm Valuation," Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis, Cambridge University Press, vol. 52(1), pages 111-142, February.
    • Handle: RePEc:cup:jfinqa:v:52:y:2017:i:01:p:111-142_00
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Demetri Tsanacas, 2022. "Valuation Challenges in High Tech Platform Based Corporations," International Journal of Economics & Business Administration (IJEBA), International Journal of Economics & Business Administration (IJEBA), vol. 0(1), pages 89-100.
    2. Liu, Hao & Zhang, Qun, 2021. "Firm age and realized idiosyncratic return volatility in China: The role of short-sales constraints," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 75(C).
    3. Liu, Hao & Gao, Ya-Chun, 2019. "The impact of corporate lifecycle on Fama–French three-factor model," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 513(C), pages 390-398.
    4. Zainudin, Zalina & Hussain, Hafezali Iqbal & Abdul Hadi, Abdul Razak & ibrahim, izani, 2017. "Debt and Financial Performance of MREITs in Malaysia: An Optimal Debt Threshold Analysis," Jurnal Ekonomi Malaysia, Faculty of Economics and Business, Universiti Kebangsaan Malaysia, vol. 51(2), pages 63-74.
    5. Md. Mahmudul Alam & Yusnidah Ibrahim & Md Shahin Mia, 2020. "Climate change impacts on yield and financial performance of agro-plantation companies in Malaysia," Post-Print hal-03520113, HAL.
    6. Rajesh Kumar & Sujit Sukumaran, 2019. "Determinants of Value Creation in Emerging Market Firms ¨C¨C An Empirical Examination," Review of Economics & Finance, Better Advances Press, Canada, vol. 17, pages 79-92, August.
    7. Leslie Rodríguez-Valencia & Prosper Lamothe-Fernández & David Alaminos, 2023. "The market value of SMEs: a comparative study between private and listed firms in alternative stock markets," Annals of Finance, Springer, vol. 19(1), pages 95-117, March.
    8. Zhang, Anqi & Liu, Lihua & Liu, Guangqiang, 2020. "High-speed rail, tourist mobility, and firm value," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 90(C), pages 108-116.
    9. Lee, Chien-Chiang & Wang, Chih-Wei & Hsieh, Hsin-Yi & Chen, Wen-Ling, 2023. "The impact of central bank digital currency variation on firm's implied volatility," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 64(C).
    10. Liu, Hao & Zhang, Hao & Gao, Ya-Chun & Chen, Xu-Dong, 2022. "Firm age and beta: Evidence from China," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 77(C), pages 244-261.

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