IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/cup/jfinqa/v49y2014i03p725-747_00.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Trading in the Options Market around Financial Analysts’ Consensus Revisions

Author

Listed:
  • Hayunga, Darren K.
  • Lung, Peter P.

Abstract

This article investigates the options market around a revision in the financial analysts’ consensus recommendation. The results demonstrate that options investors trade in the correct direction of the upcoming revision approximately 3 days prior to the announcement. We find this behavior in option-implied prices, implied volatilities, and options trading volume. Tests confirm that the options market leads the stock market before the financial analysts’ revision. Moreover, using all firms with outstanding options, an out-of-sample analysis produces a profitable zero-cost trading strategy net of transaction costs based on the relative valuations between the synthetic and the underlying equity security.

Suggested Citation

  • Hayunga, Darren K. & Lung, Peter P., 2014. "Trading in the Options Market around Financial Analysts’ Consensus Revisions," Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis, Cambridge University Press, vol. 49(3), pages 725-747, June.
    • Handle: RePEc:cup:jfinqa:v:49:y:2014:i:03:p:725-747_00
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://www.cambridge.org/core/product/identifier/S0022109014000295/type/journal_article
    File Function: link to article abstract page
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Scott Fung & Robert Loveland, 2020. "When do informed traders acquire and trade on informational advantage? Evidence from Federal Reserve stress tests," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 40(10), pages 1459-1485, October.
    2. Pei Peter Lung & Pisun Xu, 2014. "Tipping and Option Trading," Financial Management, Financial Management Association International, vol. 43(3), pages 671-701, September.
    3. Mahmoud Delshadi & Mahmoud Hosseinniakani & Zabihollah Rezaee, 2023. "Does options trading deter real activities manipulation?," Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting, Springer, vol. 61(2), pages 673-699, August.
    4. Jun Zhang, 2019. "Is options trading informed? Evidence from credit rating change announcements," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 39(9), pages 1085-1106, September.
    5. Hao, (Grace) Qing, 2016. "Is there information leakage prior to share repurchase announcements? Evidence from daily options trading," Journal of Financial Markets, Elsevier, vol. 27(C), pages 79-101.
    6. (Grace) Qing Hao & Keming Li, 2021. "Informed options trading prior to insider trades," The Financial Review, Eastern Finance Association, vol. 56(3), pages 459-480, August.
    7. Han‐Sheng Chen & Sanjiv Sabherwal, 2019. "Overconfidence among option traders," Review of Financial Economics, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 37(1), pages 61-91, January.
    8. Ming‐Yu Liu, 2019. "Improving momentum strategies using residual returns and option‐implied information," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 39(4), pages 499-521, April.
    9. Jun Zhang, 2018. "Informed Options Trading Prior to Dividend Change Announcements," Financial Management, Financial Management Association International, vol. 47(1), pages 81-103, March.
    10. Chen, Sipeng & Li, Gang, 2023. "Why does option-implied volatility forecast realized volatility? Evidence from news events," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 156(C).
    11. Alejandro Bernales & Thanos Verousis & Nikolaos Voukelatos & Mengyu Zhang, 2020. "What do we know about individual equity options?," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 40(1), pages 67-91, January.
    12. Liu, Dehong & Qiu, Qi & Hughen, J. Christopher & Lung, Peter, 2019. "Price discovery in the price disagreement between equity and option markets: Evidence from SSE ETF50 options of China," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 64(C), pages 557-571.

    More about this item

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:cup:jfinqa:v:49:y:2014:i:03:p:725-747_00. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    We have no bibliographic references for this item. You can help adding them by using this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Kirk Stebbing (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://www.cambridge.org/jfq .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.