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Debt Maturity and Asymmetric Information: Evidence from Default Risk Changes

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  • Goyal, Vidhan K.
  • Wang, Wei

Abstract

Asymmetric information models suggest that a borrower’s choice of debt maturity depends on its private information about its default probabilities, that is, borrowers with favorable information prefer short-term debt while those with unfavorable information prefer long-term debt. We test this implication by tracing the evolution of debt issuers’ default risk following debt issuances. We find that short-term debt issuance leads to a decline inborrowers’ asset volatility and an increase in their distance to default. The opposite is true for long-term debt issues. The results suggest that borrowers’ private information about their default risk is an important determinant of their debt maturity choices.

Suggested Citation

  • Goyal, Vidhan K. & Wang, Wei, 2013. "Debt Maturity and Asymmetric Information: Evidence from Default Risk Changes," Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis, Cambridge University Press, vol. 48(3), pages 789-817, June.
    • Handle: RePEc:cup:jfinqa:v:48:y:2013:i:03:p:789-817_00
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    1. Kashefi Pour, Eilnaz & Lasfer, Meziane, 2019. "Taxes, governance, and debt maturity structure: International evidence," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 58(C), pages 136-161.
    2. Lee, Chien-Chiang & Wang, Chih-Wei & Xu, Zhi-Ting, 2023. "Signaling effect of cash holdings adjustment before bond issuance," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 85(C).
    3. Orman, Cüneyt & Köksal, Bülent, 2017. "Debt maturity across firm types: Evidence from a major developing economy," Emerging Markets Review, Elsevier, vol. 30(C), pages 169-199.
    4. Gao, Xing & Lai, Xiaobing & Huang, Ting & Lai, Huisu, 2024. "Does social dishonesty accelerate corporate maturity mismatch of investment and financing?," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 64(C).
    5. Li, Bo & Cheng, Yue & Tian, Guangning, 2024. "Bank competition and firm asset- debt maturity mismatch: Evidence from the SMEs in China," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 69(C).
    6. Cuneyt Orman & Bulent Koksal, 2015. "Structure Of Debt Maturity Across Firm Types," IPEK Working Papers 1504, Ipek University, Department of Economics.
    7. Xiaolan Bao & Qiaosheng Luo & Sicheng Li & M. James C. Crabbe & XiaoGuang Yue, 2020. "Corporate Social Responsibility and Maturity Mismatch of Investment and Financing: Evidence from Polluting and Non-Polluting Companies," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 12(12), pages 1-22, June.
    8. Alexander Lahmann & Maximilian Schreiter & Bernhard Schwetzler, 2018. "Der Einfluss von Insolvenz, Kapitalstruktur und Fremdkapitalfälligkeit auf den Unternehmenswert [The Impact of Default Risk, Capital Structure, and Debt Maturity on Firm Value]," Schmalenbach Journal of Business Research, Springer, vol. 70(1), pages 73-123, March.
    9. Ovtchinnikov, Alexei V., 2016. "Debt decisions in deregulated industries," Journal of Corporate Finance, Elsevier, vol. 36(C), pages 230-254.
    10. Chen, Lirong & Gao, Feiyang & Guo, Tongtong & Huang, Xuanhao, 2023. "Mixed ownership reform and the short-term debt for long-term investment of non-state-owned enterprises: Evidence from China," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 90(C).
    11. Matteo Aquilina & Giulio Cornelli & Marina Sanchez del Villar, 2024. "Regulation, information asymmetries and the funding of new ventures," BIS Working Papers 1162, Bank for International Settlements.
    12. Huang, Guan-Ying & Huang, Henry H. & Lee, Chun I, 2019. "Is CEO pay disparity relevant to seasoned bondholders?," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 64(C), pages 271-289.
    13. Nadarajah, Sivathaasan & Duong, Huu Nhan & Ali, Searat & Liu, Benjamin & Huang, Allen, 2021. "Stock liquidity and default risk around the world," Journal of Financial Markets, Elsevier, vol. 55(C).
    14. Fu, Xudong & Huang, Minjie & Tang, Tian, 2022. "Duration of executive compensation and maturity structure of corporate debt," Journal of Corporate Finance, Elsevier, vol. 73(C).
    15. Sheng Huang & Ruichang Lu & Anand Srinivasan, 2022. "Bank Dependence and Bank Financing in Corporate M&A," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 68(3), pages 2250-2283, March.
    16. Kanwal Iqbal Khan & Faisal Qadeer & Mário Nuno Mata & Rui Miguel Dantas & João Xavier Rita & Jéssica Nunes Martins, 2021. "Debt Market Trends and Predictors of Specialization: An Analysis of Pakistani Corporate Sector," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 14(5), pages 1-16, May.
    17. Kanwal Iqbal Khan & Faisal Qadeer & Mário Nuno Mata & José Chavaglia Neto & Qurat ul An Sabir & Jéssica Nunes Martins & José António Filipe, 2021. "Core Predictors of Debt Specialization: A New Insight to Optimal Capital Structure," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 9(9), pages 1-25, April.
    18. Orman, Cüneyt & Bülent, Köksal, 2015. "Structure of Debt Maturity across the Firm Type Spectrum," MPRA Paper 64860, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    19. Ma, Sichao & Peng, Yuchao & Wu, Wanting & Zhu, Feifei, 2022. "Bank liquidity hoarding and corporate maturity mismatch: Evidence from China," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 63(C).
    20. Hong, Jieying, 2019. "Managerial compensation incentives and corporate debt maturity: Evidence from FAS 123R," Journal of Corporate Finance, Elsevier, vol. 56(C), pages 388-414.
    21. Muradoğlu, Yaz Gülnur & Onay, Ceylan & Phylaktis, Kate, 2014. "European integration and corporate financing," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 33(C), pages 138-157.
    22. Muhammad Atif & Searat Ali, 2021. "Environmental, social and governance disclosure and default risk," Business Strategy and the Environment, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 30(8), pages 3937-3959, December.
    23. Jing Wu & Qiuge Yao & Haoxiang Tong, 2019. "Does monetary policy tightening reduce the maturity mismatch of investment and financing: Empirical evidence from China," Journal of Applied Finance & Banking, SCIENPRESS Ltd, vol. 9(6), pages 1-3.
    24. Lee, Chien-Chiang & Wang, Chih-Wei, 2022. "Liquidation threat: Behavior of CEO entrenchment," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 47(PA).
    25. Onur Kemal Tosun & Lemma W. Senbet, 2020. "Does internal board monitoring affect debt maturity?," Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting, Springer, vol. 54(1), pages 205-245, January.

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