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A New Look at the Random Walk Hypothesis

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  • Smidt, Seymour

Abstract

The basic idea behind the random walk hypothesis is that in a free competitive market the price currently quoted for a particular good or service should reflect all of the information available to participants in the market that influence its present price. To the extent that future conditions of the demand or supply are currently known, their effect on the current price should be properly taken into account.

Suggested Citation

  • Smidt, Seymour, 1968. "A New Look at the Random Walk Hypothesis," Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis, Cambridge University Press, vol. 3(3), pages 235-261, September.
    • Handle: RePEc:cup:jfinqa:v:3:y:1968:i:03:p:235-261_01
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    Cited by:

    1. Muhammad Zia Ur Rehman & Zain ul Abidin & Faisal Rizwan & Zaheer Abbas & Sajjad Ahmad Baig, 2017. "How investor sentiments spillover from developed countries to developing countries?," Cogent Economics & Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 5(1), pages 1309096-130, January.
    2. Kapil Gupta & Balwinder Singh, 2009. "Information Memory and Pricing Efficiency of Futures Contracts," Journal of Emerging Market Finance, Institute for Financial Management and Research, vol. 8(2), pages 191-250, May.
    3. Hauser, Robert J. & Anderson, Dane K., 1984. "Modifying Traditional Option Pricing Formulae For Options On Soybean Futures," 1984 Annual Meeting, August 5-8, Ithaca, New York 279099, American Agricultural Economics Association (New Name 2008: Agricultural and Applied Economics Association).
    4. Mashamaite, P. & Moholwa, B., 2005. "Price asymmetry in South African futures markets for agricultural commodities," Agrekon, Agricultural Economics Association of South Africa (AEASA), vol. 44(3), pages 1-11, September.
    5. Dash, M., 2019. "Testing the Random Walk Hypothesis in the Indian Stock Market Using ARIMA Modelling," Journal of Applied Management and Investments, Department of Business Administration and Corporate Security, International Humanitarian University, vol. 8(2), pages 71-77, May.
    6. Lawrence R. Glosten, 1978. "A 'Trade Out of Equilibrium' Model of the Stock Market," Discussion Papers 309, Northwestern University, Center for Mathematical Studies in Economics and Management Science.
    7. Stefan Abrantes Costa & Pedro Manuel Nogueira Reis & Antonio Pedro Soares Pinto, 2020. "Subjective/ Behavioural Factors Influence the PSI 20 and IBEX 35," International Journal of Financial Research, International Journal of Financial Research, Sciedu Press, vol. 11(5), pages 13-27, October.
    8. Kwame Addae-Dapaah & James Webb & Kim Ho & Yan Tan, 2010. "Industrial Real Estate Investment: Does the Contrarian Strategy Work?," The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics, Springer, vol. 41(2), pages 193-227, August.
    9. Mihir Dash, 2020. "Testing the Binomial Model in the Indian Stock Market," Journal of Applied Management and Investments, Department of Business Administration and Corporate Security, International Humanitarian University, vol. 9(1), pages 22-27, March.
    10. Ahmed Bouteska & Taimur Sharif & Mohammad Zoynul Abedin, 2024. "Does investor sentiment create value for asset pricing? An empirical investigation of the KOSPI‐listed firms," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 29(3), pages 3487-3509, July.
    11. Peter J.N.W Bird, 1987. "Futures Trading and the European Oil Market," The Energy Journal, , vol. 8(3), pages 149-156, July.
    12. Hauser, Rober J. & Neff, Steven A., 1984. "The Pricing Efficiency of the barge freight call session," Transportation Research Forum Proceedings 1980s 311697, Transportation Research Forum.
    13. Mahmoudi, Nader & Docherty, Paul & Melia, Adrian, 2022. "Firm-level investor sentiment and corporate announcement returns," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 144(C).

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