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Correct Procedures for the Evaluation of Risky Cash Outflows

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  • Booth, Laurence D.

Abstract

The purpose of this paper is to determine the correct procedure for discounting cash outflows in a capital market context. Beedles has stated flatly that “the risk adjusted discount (RADR) approach should not be applied to investment projects with negative benefits” ([1], p. 176). Lewellen also has recently examined the problem because he felt that there “is something at least vaguely disturbing about the associated write-down of the present value of cash outflows for risk” ([7], p. 1332). Lewellen, however, concluded that “the standard procedure used for inflows can therefore be transferred intact. The logic is symmetric because the sign of the flows is reversed.” In a comment on Lewellen, Celec and Pettway stated that they are “in substantial disagreement with Lewellen's development as well as with any implied generality of employing the standard RADR procedure in valuing cash outflow streams” ([3], P. 1061). This inappropriateness of the standard RADR approach to valuing cash outflows seems to have been accepted in the 1iterature. Kudla [6] recently claimed that it has been proved by the above authors and others that the normative rules in capital budgeting do not hold in evaluating cash outflows.

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  • Booth, Laurence D., 1982. "Correct Procedures for the Evaluation of Risky Cash Outflows," Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis, Cambridge University Press, vol. 17(2), pages 287-300, June.
    • Handle: RePEc:cup:jfinqa:v:17:y:1982:i:02:p:287-300_01
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    1. Robison, Lindon J. & Burghardt, William G., 1983. "Five Principles for Building Present Value Models and their Application to Maximum (Minimum) Bid (Sell) Price Models for Land," Agricultural Economic Report Series 201327, Michigan State University, Department of Agricultural, Food, and Resource Economics.
    2. Awerbuch, Shimon & Deehan, William, 1995. "Do consumers discount the future correctly? : A market-based valuation of residential fuel switching," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 23(1), pages 57-69, January.
    3. Vojtěch Menzl, 2019. "Estimating Present Value of Expected Expenditures in the Context of the Valuation of Negative Risk Cash Flows Using the RADR and Certainty Equivalent Methods [Odhad současné hodnoty očekávaných výd," Oceňování, Prague University of Economics and Business, vol. 12(2), pages 29-48.
    4. Meitner, Matthias, 2003. "Option-Style Multi-Factor Comparable Company Valuation for Practical Use," ZEW Discussion Papers 03-76, ZEW - Leibniz Centre for European Economic Research.
    5. Andrey Leonidov & Ilya Tipunin & Ekaterina Serebryannikova, 2020. "On Evaluation of Risky Investment Projects. Investment Certainty Equivalence," Papers 2005.12173, arXiv.org.

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