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Adapting to the Weather: Lessons from U.S. History

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  • Bleakley, Hoyt
  • Hong, Sok Chul

Abstract

An important unknown in understanding the impact of climate change is the scope of adaptation, which requires observations on historical time scales. We consider how weather across U.S. history (1860–2000) has affected various measures of productivity. Using cross-sectional and panel methods, we document significant responses of agricultural and individual productivity to weather. We find strong effects of hotter and wetter weather early in U.S. history, but these effects have generally been attenuated in recent decades. The results suggest that estimates from a given period may be of limited use in forecasting the longer-term impacts of climate change.

Suggested Citation

  • Bleakley, Hoyt & Hong, Sok Chul, 2017. "Adapting to the Weather: Lessons from U.S. History," The Journal of Economic History, Cambridge University Press, vol. 77(3), pages 756-795, September.
    • Handle: RePEc:cup:jechis:v:77:y:2017:i:03:p:756-795_00
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    Cited by:

    1. Antonio Bento & Noah S. Miller & Mehreen Mookerjee & Edson R. Severnini, 2020. "A Unifying Approach to Measuring Climate Change Impacts and Adaptation," NBER Working Papers 27247, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    2. Maurizio Malpede, 2023. "Malaria and economic activity: Evidence from US agriculture," American Journal of Agricultural Economics, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 105(5), pages 1516-1542, October.
    3. Arbex, Marcelo & Batu, Michael, 2020. "What if people value nature? Climate change and welfare costs," Resource and Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 61(C).
    4. Agustín Indaco & Francesc Ortega & Süleyman Taṣpınar, 2021. "Hurricanes, flood risk and the economic adaptation of businesses," Journal of Economic Geography, Oxford University Press, vol. 21(4), pages 557-591.
    5. Sichko, Christopher, 2021. "Migrant Selection and Sorting during the Great American Drought," SocArXiv wm2p3, Center for Open Science.
    6. repec:ags:aaea22:335558 is not listed on IDEAS
    7. Wang, Di & Zhang, Peng & Chen, Shuai & Zhang, Ning, 2024. "Adaptation to temperature extremes in Chinese agriculture, 1981 to 2010," Journal of Development Economics, Elsevier, vol. 166(C).
    8. Bento, Antonio M. & Miller, Noah & Mookerjee, Mehreen & Severnini, Edson, 2023. "A unifying approach to measuring climate change impacts and adaptation," Journal of Environmental Economics and Management, Elsevier, vol. 121(C).

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