IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/cup/jbcoan/v14y2023is1p337-354_13.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

One Million Lives Saved Per Year: A Cost–Benefit Analysis of the Global Plan to End Tuberculosis, 2023–2030 and Beyond

Author

Listed:
  • Pretorius, Carel
  • Arinaminpathy, Nimalan
  • Mandal, Sandip
  • Sahu, Suvanand
  • Pai, Madhukar
  • Mathiasson, Roland
  • Wong, Brad

Abstract

This report presents a cost–benefit analysis of increased spending on tuberculosis (TB) using impacts and costs drawn from the Global Plan to End Tuberculosis, 2023–2030. The analysis indicates that the return on TB spending is substantial with a centrally estimated benefit–cost ratio (BCR) of 46, meaning every US$ 1 invested in TB yields US$ 46 in benefits. Alternative specifications using different baselines, interventions, cost profiles, and discount rates still yield robustly high BCRs, in the range of 28–84. This report also shows that TB investment would avert substantial mortality, estimated at 27.3 million averted deaths over the 28-year period between 2023 and 2050 inclusive: almost 1 million averted deaths per year on average. Accounting for all estimated direct and indirect costs, the cost per averted death is slightly over US$ 2000. Interventions to address TB represent exceptional value-for-money.

Suggested Citation

  • Pretorius, Carel & Arinaminpathy, Nimalan & Mandal, Sandip & Sahu, Suvanand & Pai, Madhukar & Mathiasson, Roland & Wong, Brad, 2023. "One Million Lives Saved Per Year: A Cost–Benefit Analysis of the Global Plan to End Tuberculosis, 2023–2030 and Beyond," Journal of Benefit-Cost Analysis, Cambridge University Press, vol. 14(S1), pages 337-354, June.
    • Handle: RePEc:cup:jbcoan:v:14:y:2023:i:s1:p:337-354_13
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://www.cambridge.org/core/product/identifier/S2194588823000131/type/journal_article
    File Function: link to article abstract page
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    More about this item

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:cup:jbcoan:v:14:y:2023:i:s1:p:337-354_13. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    We have no bibliographic references for this item. You can help adding them by using this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Kirk Stebbing (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://www.cambridge.org/bca .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.