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Von Kries and the other ‘German logicians’: non-numerical probabilities before Keynes

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  • Fioretti, Guido

Abstract

Keynes's A Treatise on Probability (Keynes, 1921) contains some quite unusual concepts, such as non-numerical probabilities and the ‘weights of the arguments’ that support probability judgements. Their controversial interpretation gave rise to a huge literature about ‘what Keynes really did mean’, also because Keynes's later views in macroeconomics ultimately rest on his ideas on uncertainty and expectations formation.

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  • Fioretti, Guido, 2001. "Von Kries and the other ‘German logicians’: non-numerical probabilities before Keynes," Economics and Philosophy, Cambridge University Press, vol. 17(2), pages 245-273, October.
    • Handle: RePEc:cup:ecnphi:v:17:y:2001:i:02:p:245-273_00
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    Cited by:

    1. Alberto Feduzi, 2010. "On Keynes's conception of the Weight of Evidence," Post-Print hal-00870185, HAL.

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