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Factories for Votes? How Authoritarian Leaders Gain Popular Support Using Targeted Industrial Policy

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  • Hong, Ji Yeon
  • Park, Sunkyoung

Abstract

This article explores the link between industrial policy and electoral outcomes under dictatorship. Using a difference-in-differences analysis of county-level panel data from 1971–88 in South Korea, it examines whether the industrial policy implemented by an authoritarian government affects constituents’ electoral decisions. It finds that counties receiving economic benefits through the construction of industrial complexes cast more votes for the incumbent party in subsequent elections. The effects are larger in elections immediately after the appointment of an industrial complex or at the beginning of its construction compared to elections held after the completion of construction. Furthermore, the study tests and rejects reverse causality and migration effects as possible alternative mechanisms for the changes in electoral outcomes. Finally, to understand a unique feature of authoritarian elections, it tests whether industrial complexes affect electoral fraud. Using a genetic matching methodology, it finds that places with new industrial complexes are less likely to experience electoral fraud.

Suggested Citation

  • Hong, Ji Yeon & Park, Sunkyoung, 2016. "Factories for Votes? How Authoritarian Leaders Gain Popular Support Using Targeted Industrial Policy," British Journal of Political Science, Cambridge University Press, vol. 46(3), pages 501-527, July.
    • Handle: RePEc:cup:bjposi:v:46:y:2016:i:03:p:501-527_00
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    Cited by:

    1. Li, Daniel Z. & Li, Zeren & Zhang, Qi, 2023. "Public investment as downward benefit distribution: Theory and evidence from China’s public–private partnership programs," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 211(C), pages 103-128.
    2. Sungjun Kim & Changmu Jung, 2020. "The Influence of Urban Planning-Related Pledge Budget on Local Election Votes: A City Case in Korea," Land, MDPI, vol. 9(12), pages 1-13, December.

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