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The Effects of Deliberative Polling in an EU-wide Experiment: Five Mechanisms in Search of an Explanation

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  • Sanders, David

Abstract

Deliberative Polls simulate public opinion in a given policy domain when members of the relevant mass public are better informed about the issues involved. This article reports on the results of a three-day Deliberative Poll, conducted before the June 2009 European Parliament elections, to evaluate the effects of deliberation on a representative sample of EU citizens. Findings show that, compared with a control group, deliberators changed their views significantly on immigration (becoming more liberal), climate change (becoming greener) and the EU itself (becoming more pro-European). Five different explanations of why deliberation appears to work are tested: sampling bias, increased political knowledge, discussion quality, small group social conformity pressure and the influence of other Deliberative Poll actors, but none is satisfactory.

Suggested Citation

  • Sanders, David, 2012. "The Effects of Deliberative Polling in an EU-wide Experiment: Five Mechanisms in Search of an Explanation," British Journal of Political Science, Cambridge University Press, vol. 42(3), pages 617-640, July.
  • Handle: RePEc:cup:bjposi:v:42:y:2012:i:03:p:617-640_00
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    Cited by:

    1. Patrick Bernhagen & Hermann Schmitt, 2014. "Deliberation, political knowledge and vote choice: Results from an experiment with second-order elections," European Union Politics, , vol. 15(3), pages 352-371, September.
    2. Andrew G.H. Thompson & Oliver Escobar & Jennifer J. Roberts & Stephen Elstub & Niccole M. Pamphilis, 2021. "The Importance of Context and the Effect of Information and Deliberation on Opinion Change Regarding Environmental Issues in Citizens’ Juries," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(17), pages 1-21, September.
    3. Marlène Gerber & André Bächtiger & Irena Fiket & Marco Steenbergen & Jürg Steiner, 2014. "Deliberative and non-deliberative persuasion: Mechanisms of opinion formation in EuroPolis," European Union Politics, , vol. 15(3), pages 410-429, September.
    4. Kiyotada Hayashi & Hiroki Hondo & Yue Moriizumi, 2016. "Preference Construction Processes for Renewable Energies: Assessing the Influence of Sustainability Information and Decision Support Methods," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 8(11), pages 1-14, November.

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