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Evidence of Learning and Risk Orientation During International Crises: The Munich and Polish Cases

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  • Walker, Stephen G.
  • Bohlin, Daniel
  • Boos, Robert
  • Cownie, David
  • Nakajima, Hiroshi
  • Willson, Timothy

Abstract

There is a growing body of literature dealing with the anticipation and management of international crises. However, there has been relatively little attention paid to the learning effects of successive ‘real world’ confrontations between the same protagonists. This gap is somewhat paradoxical, since there is a great emphasis upon ‘teaching’ the adversary certain lessons in the deterrence literature, and a preoccupation with ‘vicarious learning’ by policy makers who do not wish to repeat the mistakes of their predecessors.

Suggested Citation

  • Walker, Stephen G. & Bohlin, Daniel & Boos, Robert & Cownie, David & Nakajima, Hiroshi & Willson, Timothy, 1984. "Evidence of Learning and Risk Orientation During International Crises: The Munich and Polish Cases," British Journal of Political Science, Cambridge University Press, vol. 14(1), pages 33-51, January.
    • Handle: RePEc:cup:bjposi:v:14:y:1984:i:01:p:33-51_00
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    Cited by:

    1. Stephen G. Walker & George L. Watson, 1994. "Integrative Complexity and British Decisions during the Munich and Polish Crises," Journal of Conflict Resolution, Peace Science Society (International), vol. 38(1), pages 3-23, March.
    2. Joshua S. Goldstein, 1992. "A Conflict-Cooperation Scale for WEIS Events Data," Journal of Conflict Resolution, Peace Science Society (International), vol. 36(2), pages 369-385, June.

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