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Robust Credibility1

Author

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  • Gisler, Alois
  • Reinhard, Peter

Abstract

Outlier observations caused by big claims or by an event producing a series of claims are a special problem in ratemaking and in tariff calculation. The authors believe that combining credibility and robust statistics is the right answer to this problem. The main idea is to robustify the individual claims experience by using a robust estimator Ti instead of the individual mean and to look at the credibility estimator based on the robust statistics {Ti: i = 1, 2, …} . Choosing a particular influence function leads to datatrimming with an observation-dependent trimming point.

Suggested Citation

  • Gisler, Alois & Reinhard, Peter, 1993. "Robust Credibility1," ASTIN Bulletin, Cambridge University Press, vol. 23(1), pages 117-143, May.
    • Handle: RePEc:cup:astinb:v:23:y:1993:i:01:p:117-143_00
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    Cited by:

    1. Garrido, José & Romera, Rosario, 1995. "On credibility and robustness with the Kalman filter," DES - Working Papers. Statistics and Econometrics. WS 4509, Universidad Carlos III de Madrid. Departamento de Estadística.
    2. Pitselis, Georgios, 2008. "Robust regression credibility: The influence function approach," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 42(1), pages 288-300, February.
    3. Pitselis, Georgios, 2013. "Pure robust versus robust portfolio unbiased—Credibility and asymptotic optimality," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 52(2), pages 391-403.
    4. Dornheim, Harald & Brazauskas, Vytaras, 2011. "Robust-efficient credibility models with heavy-tailed claims: A mixed linear models perspective," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 48(1), pages 72-84, January.

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