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New Models for New Labour: The Political Economy of Labour Party Support, January 1992–April 1997

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  • Clarke, Harold D.
  • Stewart, Marianne C.
  • Whiteley, Paul F.

Abstract

This article uses newly available British time-series data to analyze dynamic interrelationships among Labour vote intentions, perceptions that the Labour leader would make the best prime minister, and Labour party identification. Error-correction models reveal that best prime minister perceptions and party identification have important short- and long-run influences on vote intentions. Tests of rival models indicate that personal economic expectations outperform other economic evaluations in the vote intention and party identification analyses. National retrospective judgments perform well in analyses of best prime minister perceptions, and emotional reactions to economic conditions significantly influence these perceptions as well as party identification.

Suggested Citation

  • Clarke, Harold D. & Stewart, Marianne C. & Whiteley, Paul F., 1998. "New Models for New Labour: The Political Economy of Labour Party Support, January 1992–April 1997," American Political Science Review, Cambridge University Press, vol. 92(3), pages 559-575, September.
    • Handle: RePEc:cup:apsrev:v:92:y:1998:i:03:p:559-575_21
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    Cited by:

    1. Will Jennings & Peter John, 2009. "The Dynamics of Political Attention: Public Opinion and the Queen's Speech in the United Kingdom," American Journal of Political Science, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 53(4), pages 838-854, October.
    2. Robert Johns & James Mitchell & David Denver & Charles Pattie, 2009. "Valence Politics in Scotland: Towards an Explanation of the 2007 Election," Political Studies, Political Studies Association, vol. 57(1), pages 207-233, March.

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