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The President, Referendum Voting, and Subnational Elections in the United States

Author

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  • Simon, Dennis M.
  • Ostrom, Charles W.
  • Marra, Robin F.

Abstract

This research is designed to generalize a referendum voting model and investigate its ability to account for the aggregate outcomes of elections for the House, Senate, governorships, and upper and lower chambers of state legislatures. Our analysis shows that these outcomes are influenced by the same systematic short- and long-term forces. In addition to this common referendum structure, the analysis reveals that there is a common response to random shocks, a subtle form of interdependence found in systems of seemingly unrelated regressions.

Suggested Citation

  • Simon, Dennis M. & Ostrom, Charles W. & Marra, Robin F., 1991. "The President, Referendum Voting, and Subnational Elections in the United States," American Political Science Review, Cambridge University Press, vol. 85(4), pages 1177-1192, December.
    • Handle: RePEc:cup:apsrev:v:85:y:1991:i:04:p:1177-1192_18
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    Cited by:

    1. Rodrigo Martins & Francisco Veiga, 2013. "Economic voting in Portuguese municipal elections," Public Choice, Springer, vol. 155(3), pages 317-334, June.
    2. David Mitchell & Keith Willett, 2006. "Local Economic Performance and Election Outcomes," Atlantic Economic Journal, Springer;International Atlantic Economic Society, vol. 34(2), pages 219-232, June.
    3. Steven Rogers, 2016. "National Forces in State Legislative Elections," The ANNALS of the American Academy of Political and Social Science, , vol. 667(1), pages 207-225, September.
    4. Robert Tannenwald & Jennifer Weiner & Igor Popov, 2010. "Genesis of State–Local Creativity," Chapters, in: Sally Wallace (ed.), State and Local Fiscal Policy, chapter 3, Edward Elgar Publishing.
    5. Lee, Dongwon & Min, Sujin & Park, Sangwon, 2024. "Political budget cycle and the alignment effect: Evidence from South Korea," European Journal of Political Economy, Elsevier, vol. 81(C).

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