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Presidential Prenomination Preferences and Candidate Evaluations

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  • Kenney, Patrick J.
  • Rice, Tom W.

Abstract

Recent research has altered our understanding of how voters select a candidate in U.S. presidential elections. Scholars have demonstrated empirically that issues, candidate personalities, candidate evaluations, and party identification interact in a dynamic simultaneous fashion to determine vote choice. Other researchers have shown that prenomination candidate preferences play an integral role in structuring the general election vote. We join together these two important trends to introduce and test a revised model of vote choice, using 1980 NES panel data. The results reconfirm that candidate selection is part of a dynamic simultaneous process and reveal for the first time that prenomination preferences are woven tightly into this causal web.

Suggested Citation

  • Kenney, Patrick J. & Rice, Tom W., 1988. "Presidential Prenomination Preferences and Candidate Evaluations," American Political Science Review, Cambridge University Press, vol. 82(4), pages 1309-1319, December.
    • Handle: RePEc:cup:apsrev:v:82:y:1988:i:04:p:1309-1319_19
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