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Nationalization and Partisan Realignment in Congressional Elections

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  • Kawato, Sadafumi

Abstract

The relationship between nationalization of the U.S. electorate and partisan realignment is explored. Concepts and measurement of nationalization are examined, as well as definitions of electoral change. The British concept of swing is utilized as an appropriate measure of electoral change. Examination of long-term trends in the variances of the congressional vote and swing from 1842 to 1980 shows they are related to the electoral dynamics of realignment. Analysis utilizing a variance-components model shows there has never been a nationalization in terms of configuration of the electorate. But nationalization in the movement of the electorate has taken place cyclically, corresponding to the partisan realignments of the 1890s and the 1930s, rather than monotonically, as suggested by previous research.

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  • Kawato, Sadafumi, 1987. "Nationalization and Partisan Realignment in Congressional Elections," American Political Science Review, Cambridge University Press, vol. 81(4), pages 1235-1250, December.
    • Handle: RePEc:cup:apsrev:v:81:y:1987:i:04:p:1235-1250_20
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    Cited by:

    1. Luís Aguiar-Conraria & Pedro Magalhães & Maria Soares, 2013. "The nationalization of electoral cycles in the United States: a wavelet analysis," Public Choice, Springer, vol. 156(3), pages 387-408, September.
    2. Luís Francisco Aguiar & Pedro C. Magalhães & Maria Joana Soares, 2010. "Synchronism in Electoral Cycles: How United are the United States?," NIPE Working Papers 17/2010, NIPE - Universidade do Minho.
    3. Paul Kubicek, 2000. "Regional Polarisation in Ukraine: Public Opinion, Voting and Legislative Behaviour," Europe-Asia Studies, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 52(2), pages 273-294.

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