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When the Money Stops: Fluctuations in Financial Remittances and Incumbent Approval in Central Eastern Europe, the Caucasus and Central Asia

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  • TERTYTCHNAYA, KATERINA
  • DE VRIES, CATHERINE E.
  • SOLAZ, HECTOR
  • DOYLE, DAVID

Abstract

Fluctuations in the volume and the value of financial remittances received from abroad affect the livelihood of households in developing economies across the world. Yet, political scientists have little to say about how changes in remittances, as opposed to the receipt of remittance payments alone, affect recipients’ political attitudes. Relying on a unique four-wave panel study of Kyrgyz citizens between 2010–2013 and a cross-sectional sample of 28 countries in Central Eastern Europe, the Caucasus and Central Asia, we show that when people experience a decrease (increase) in remittances, they become less (more) satisfied about their household economic situation and misattribute responsibility to the incumbent at home. Our findings advance the literature on the political consequences of remittance payments and suggest that far from exclusively being an international risk-sharing mechanism for developing countries, remittances can also drive fluctuations in incumbent approval and compromise rudimentary accountability mechanisms in the developing world.

Suggested Citation

  • Tertytchnaya, Katerina & De Vries, Catherine E. & Solaz, Hector & Doyle, David, 2018. "When the Money Stops: Fluctuations in Financial Remittances and Incumbent Approval in Central Eastern Europe, the Caucasus and Central Asia," American Political Science Review, Cambridge University Press, vol. 112(4), pages 758-774, November.
    • Handle: RePEc:cup:apsrev:v:112:y:2018:i:04:p:758-774_00
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    Cited by:

    1. John Ahlquist & Mark Copelovitch & Stefanie Walter, 2020. "The Political Consequences of External Economic Shocks: Evidence from Poland," American Journal of Political Science, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 64(4), pages 904-920, October.
    2. Ambrosius, Christian, 2019. "Government reactions to private substitutes for public goods: Remittances and the crowding-out of public finance," Journal of Comparative Economics, Elsevier, vol. 47(2), pages 396-415.
    3. Jonas Gamso & Jikuo Lu & Farhod Yuldashev, 2021. "Does foreign aid volatility increase international migration?," The Review of International Organizations, Springer, vol. 16(3), pages 581-598, July.
    4. Kamal Kasmaoui & Farid Makhlouf & Refk Selmi, 2023. "The decision to remit is a matter of interpersonal trust," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 43(2), pages 733-747.
    5. Kamal Kasmaoui & Farid Makhlouf & Youssef Errami, 2020. "Does Trust in Home Countries Matter for Formal Remittances?," Working Papers hal-02886563, HAL.
    6. Julio A. Ramos Pastrana, 2021. "Who’s getting the office? Party dominance and elected executives’ career path," Kyklos, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 74(2), pages 270-297, May.
    7. Mikhail A Alexseev & Henry E Hale, 2020. "Crimea come what may: Do economic sanctions backfire politically?," Journal of Peace Research, Peace Research Institute Oslo, vol. 57(2), pages 344-359, March.
    8. Julio A. Ramos Pastrana, 2024. "Hit from abroad: Party dominance and the fiscal response to external economic shocks," Economics and Politics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 36(1), pages 7-38, March.

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