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Home equity release for long-term care financing: an improved market structure and pricing approach

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  • Andrews, Doug
  • Oberoi, Jaideep

Abstract

Home equity release products have been promoted as a potential solution to residential long-term care costs for the elderly. Lower than expected utilisation of home equity release loans has prompted efforts to better model and price the no-negative-equity-guarantee (NNEG) built into the contracts, but loan rates are still widely perceived by homeowners as being unattractive. We propose the introduction of a new adjustable rate loan based on a regional house price index, with the NNEG being borne by a specially created intermediary. The proposed approach allows us to directly address and separately price the basis risk between individual house price returns and index returns. In addition, it offers the opportunity to create securities based on residential real estate that would be attractive to a wider class of investors. The alternative risk-sharing mechanism creates a more transparent and simple pricing structure for the loans. We then use house sales data to demonstrate the approach. We find in our sample that it would be possible to make higher loans than seen in previous literature using standard roll-up contracts. In the most favourable scenario for our simulations, the maximum loan is 89% of the appraised home value if the loan is advanced as a lump sum and 95% if the loan is advanced in instalments.

Suggested Citation

  • Andrews, Doug & Oberoi, Jaideep, 2015. "Home equity release for long-term care financing: an improved market structure and pricing approach," Annals of Actuarial Science, Cambridge University Press, vol. 9(1), pages 85-107, March.
    • Handle: RePEc:cup:anacsi:v:9:y:2015:i:01:p:85-107_00
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    Cited by:

    1. Sharma, Tripti & French, Declan & McKillop, Donal, 2022. "The UK equity release market: Views from the regulatory authorities, product providers and advisors," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 79(C).
    2. Declan French & Donal McKillop & Tripti Sharma, 2017. "Analysis of Housing Equity Withdrawal by its Forms," CHaRMS Working Papers 17-04, Centre for HeAlth Research at the Management School (CHaRMS).
    3. Tripti Sharma & Declan French & Donal McKillop, 2022. "Risk and Equity Release Mortgages in the UK," The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics, Springer, vol. 64(2), pages 274-297, February.
    4. Cocco, Joao F. & Lopes, Paula, 2019. "Aging in place, housing maintenance and reverse mortgages," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 100835, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.

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