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Boosted Poisson regression trees: a guide to the BT package in R

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  • Willame, Gireg
  • Trufin, Julien
  • Denuit, Michel

Abstract

Thanks to its outstanding performances, boosting has rapidly gained wide acceptance among actuaries. Wüthrich and Buser (Data Analytics for Non-Life Insurance Pricing. Lecture notes available at SSRN. http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.2870308, 2019) established that boosting can be conducted directly on the response under Poisson deviance loss function and log-link, by adapting the weights at each step. This is particularly useful to analyze low counts (typically, numbers of reported claims at policy level in personal lines). Huyghe et al. (Boosting cost-complexity pruned trees on Tweedie responses: The ABT machine for insurance ratemaking. Scandinavian Actuarial Journal. https://doi.org/10.1080/03461238.2023.2258135, 2022) adopted this approach to propose a new boosting machine with cost-complexity pruned trees. In this approach, trees included in the score progressively reduce to the root-node one, in an adaptive way. This paper reviews these results and presents the new BT package in R contributed by Willame (Boosting Trees Algorithm. https://cran.r-project.org/package=BT; https://github.com/GiregWillame/BT, 2022), which is designed to implement this approach for insurance studies. A numerical illustration demonstrates the relevance of the new tool for insurance pricing.

Suggested Citation

  • Willame, Gireg & Trufin, Julien & Denuit, Michel, 2024. "Boosted Poisson regression trees: a guide to the BT package in R," Annals of Actuarial Science, Cambridge University Press, vol. 18(3), pages 605-625, November.
  • Handle: RePEc:cup:anacsi:v:18:y:2024:i:3:p:605-625_4
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