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Monetary Policy and House Prices at Risk: Evidence from China

Author

Listed:
  • Licheng Zhang

    (Southern University of Science and Technology)

Abstract

This paper studies the effects of the M2 money supply shock on the down-side risks to house prices in China, using local projections and smooth local projections. We rely on measures of house prices at risk and downside entropy to capture the downside risks to house prices. Our results show that M2 monetary stimulus positively impacts house prices and can help mitigate downside risks to house prices. We investigate the monetary transmission mechanism through investment and find that the monetary stimulus shock boosts investment and benefits house prices. Our results suggest that monetary policy is an effective tool for managing downside risks to house prices in China.

Suggested Citation

  • Licheng Zhang, 2024. "Monetary Policy and House Prices at Risk: Evidence from China," Annals of Economics and Finance, Society for AEF, vol. 25(2), pages 741-753, November.
  • Handle: RePEc:cuf:journl:y:2024:v:25:i:2:zhang
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    China; Monetary policy; House prices at risk; Downside risks; Local projections;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • R30 - Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics - - Real Estate Markets, Spatial Production Analysis, and Firm Location - - - General
    • E52 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Monetary Policy

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