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Do COVID-19 Policies Affect Mobility Behaviour? Evidence from 75 Canadian and American Cities

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  • David A. Armstrong II
  • Matthew J. Lebo
  • Jack Lucas

Abstract

We construct a new measure of the aggressiveness of COVID-19 policies in 75 Canadian and American cities and estimate the effect of these policies on mobility patterns in each city. Using a new dataset of five municipal COVID-19 policy indicators for each of our 75 cities, combined with 11 provincial/state policy indicators, we estimate a daily measure of the "aggressiveness" of the provincial/state and municipal COVID-19 policy mix in each city. We then estimate the effects of these policies on subsequent mobility behaviour using dynamic time series models. We find strong evidence of policy effects on subsequent mobility behaviour, but few overall differences between Canadian and American cities. We discuss the significance of our findings both for COVID-19 policy research and for other comparative urban policy research in multilevel policy environments.

Suggested Citation

  • David A. Armstrong II & Matthew J. Lebo & Jack Lucas, 2020. "Do COVID-19 Policies Affect Mobility Behaviour? Evidence from 75 Canadian and American Cities," Canadian Public Policy, University of Toronto Press, vol. 46(S2), pages 127-144, August.
    • Handle: RePEc:cpp:issued:v:46:y:2020:i:s2:p:s127-s144
    DOI: 10.3138/cpp.2020-062
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    Cited by:

    1. Lorena G Barberia & Maria Leticia Claro Oliveira & Andrea Junqueira & Natália de Paula Moreira & Guy D. Whitten, 2021. "Should I stay or should I go? Embracing causal heterogeneity in the study of pandemic policy and citizen behavior," Social Science Quarterly, Southwestern Social Science Association, vol. 102(5), pages 2055-2069, September.
    2. Karaivanov, Alexander & Lu, Shih En & Shigeoka, Hitoshi & Chen, Cong & Pamplona, Stephanie, 2021. "Face masks, public policies and slowing the spread of COVID-19: Evidence from Canada," Journal of Health Economics, Elsevier, vol. 78(C).
    3. Christina Kakderi & Nicos Komninos & Anastasia Panori & Eleni Oikonomaki, 2021. "Next City: Learning from Cities during COVID-19 to Tackle Climate Change," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(6), pages 1-21, March.
    4. Corazza, Maria Vittoria & Musso, Antonio, 2021. "Urban transport policies in the time of pandemic, and after: An ARDUOUS research agenda," Transport Policy, Elsevier, vol. 103(C), pages 31-44.

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