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The Battle Over Oil Sands Access to Tidewater: A Political Risk Analysis of Pipeline Alternatives

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  • George Hoberg

Abstract

Market access for Canada's oil sands has been increasingly contested as proposals for new pipelines have become so controversial. This article develops a framework for political risk analysis and applies it to five pipeline proposals. The political risk to major infrastructure projects is a function of the number of institutional veto points; whether opposition groups have access to veto points; whether the project can take advantage of existing infrastructure; the salience of concentrated environmental risks; and the jurisdictional separation of risks and benefits. Each of the projects faces formidable political risks, but the risks vary in type and magnitude by project.

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  • George Hoberg, 2013. "The Battle Over Oil Sands Access to Tidewater: A Political Risk Analysis of Pipeline Alternatives," Canadian Public Policy, University of Toronto Press, vol. 39(3), pages 371-392, September.
    • Handle: RePEc:cpp:issued:v:39:y:2013:i:3:p:371-392
    DOI: 10.3138/CPP.39.3.371
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    Cited by:

    1. Gravelle, Timothy B. & Lachapelle, Erick, 2015. "Politics, proximity and the pipeline: Mapping public attitudes toward Keystone XL," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 83(C), pages 99-108.
    2. Kathryn Harrison, 2020. "Political Institutions and Supply-Side Climate Politics: Lessons from Coal Ports in Canada and the United States," Global Environmental Politics, MIT Press, vol. 20(4), pages 51-72, Autumn.
    3. Heather Millar, 2020. "Problem Uncertainty, Institutional Insularity, and Modes of Learning in Canadian Provincial Hydraulic Fracturing Regulation," Review of Policy Research, Policy Studies Organization, vol. 37(6), pages 765-796, November.

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