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Ocupación informal y formal en Colombia, equilibrios de largo plazo y principales causas históricas (2001-2019). Un análisis vectorial de corrección de errores

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  • Francisco Jose Perez Torres

Abstract

Este trabajo es una contribución al estudio de las relaciones de equilibrio entre la ocupación informal, el salario mínimo, el desempleo urbano, el empleo en los sectores de manufactura, comercio y servicios y el crecimiento económico. Con el objetivo de establecer la repercusión de estas variables en la variabilidad de la ocupación informal, a través de un modelo vectorial de corrección de errores se comprueba la existencia de relaciones de equilibrio de largo plazo entre las variables mencionadas. Con los resultados de impulso-respuesta y de descomposición de varianza, se muestra cómo estas responden, recíprocamente, ante choques estocásticos que puedan registrar. Los resultados econométricos se relacionan con importantes aspectos históricos estructurales del desarrollo de la economía colombiana, evidenciando implicaciones básicas para la formulación de políticas que buscan disminuir la economía informal y la ocupación generada en ella.

Suggested Citation

  • Francisco Jose Perez Torres, 2022. "Ocupación informal y formal en Colombia, equilibrios de largo plazo y principales causas históricas (2001-2019). Un análisis vectorial de corrección de errores," Tiempo y Economía, Universidad de Bogotá Jorge Tadeo Lozano, vol. 9(1), pages 41-103, January.
    • Handle: RePEc:col:000485:019912
    DOI: 10.21789/24222704.1690
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Economía Informal; Informal Economy; Salario Mínimo; Minimum Wage; Desempleo Urbano; Urban Unemployment; Empleo; Employment; Modelo VEC; VEC Model; Historia Económica; Economic History;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C32 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes; State Space Models
    • E24 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Consumption, Saving, Production, Employment, and Investment - - - Employment; Unemployment; Wages; Intergenerational Income Distribution; Aggregate Human Capital; Aggregate Labor Productivity
    • E26 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Consumption, Saving, Production, Employment, and Investment - - - Informal Economy; Underground Economy
    • J21 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Demand and Supply of Labor - - - Labor Force and Employment, Size, and Structure
    • O17 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Development - - - Formal and Informal Sectors; Shadow Economy; Institutional Arrangements

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