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Vulnerabilidad de la balanza de pagos colombiana en la perspectiva resumen de la deuda pública

Author

Listed:
  • Juan Pablo Radziunas Pulido
  • Miguel A. Montoya Olarte

Abstract

Producto de una indagación acerca de la vulnerabilidad de la balanza de pagos colombianareferida al problema de la deuda externa desde fines de la década pasada, a la luz dealgunos indicadores de vulnerabilidad y dos ejercicios referidos a la sostenibilidad y la solvenciaintertemporal. La evidencia empírica para Colombia sugiere inicialmente que no existevulnerabilidad externa y la balanza de pagos presenta indicios de sostenibilidad tanto en elcorto como en el largo plazo. Sin embargo, las elevadas tasas de interés real de la deudaexterna requieren un mayor superávit de la balanza comercial, lo que implica un mayoresfuerzo exportador a lo que debe agregarse como condición necesaria, que el crecimientoque actualmente se experimenta sea sostenible

Suggested Citation

  • Juan Pablo Radziunas Pulido & Miguel A. Montoya Olarte, 2004. "Vulnerabilidad de la balanza de pagos colombiana en la perspectiva resumen de la deuda pública," Revista Equidad y Desarrollo, Universidad de la Salle, issue 3, September.
    • Handle: RePEc:col:000452:010111
    DOI: 10.19052/ed.373
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    Cited by:

    1. Antoine GODIN & Alvaro MORENO & Diego GUEVARA & Jhan ANDRADE & Christos PIERROS & Devrim YILMAZ & Sebastian VALDECANTOS, 2022. "Thinking macroeconomic vulnerabilities in the context of low-carbon transition," Working Paper f033267a-4c36-4ee0-8e3b-7, Agence française de développement.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    vulnerabilidad externa; sostenibilidad de la deuda; balanza de pagos; Colombia.;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • H63 - Public Economics - - National Budget, Deficit, and Debt - - - Debt; Debt Management; Sovereign Debt
    • H87 - Public Economics - - Miscellaneous Issues - - - International Fiscal Issues; International Public Goods
    • H69 - Public Economics - - National Budget, Deficit, and Debt - - - Other

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