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Países de la Alianza del Pacífico 2000-2021: efectos del COVID-19 en el crecimiento y la reactivación económica

Author

Listed:
  • Giovanni Efraín Reyes Ortiz
  • César Alberto Mendoza Sáenz
  • Edward Leandro Robayo Piñeros

Abstract

El argumento central de esta investigación sostiene que los cuatro países que conforman la Alianza del Pacífico (AP) —Chile, Colombia, México y Perú— tendrán recuperación económica en el 2021, al evidenciarse incrementos de sus respectivos productos internos brutos (PIB). Además, se sostiene que es posible calcular tanto la caída de producción para esos países durante el 2020 como la recuperación referida para el siguiente ano. Los cálculos correspondientes se realizaron con base en los contextos económicos y sociopolíticos que han implicado las medidas adoptadas en los cuatro países de la AP con motivo de la pandemia del COVID-19; en específico, las medidas que iniciaron a principios de marzo del 2020. La mayor reactivación económica se tendría en México, aunque conviene resaltar que este resultado en particular se encuentra estrechamente relacionado con el desempeno de la economía de Estados Unidos, que actúa como mercado natural del citado país latinoamericano.

Suggested Citation

  • Giovanni Efraín Reyes Ortiz & César Alberto Mendoza Sáenz & Edward Leandro Robayo Piñeros, 2021. "Países de la Alianza del Pacífico 2000-2021: efectos del COVID-19 en el crecimiento y la reactivación económica," Revista Finanzas y Politica Economica, Universidad Católica de Colombia, vol. 13(1), pages 99-113, March.
    • Handle: RePEc:col:000443:019656
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Alianza del Pacífico; COVID-19; economías latinoamericanas; efectos económicos; reactivación económica.;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E20 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Consumption, Saving, Production, Employment, and Investment - - - General (includes Measurement and Data)
    • E23 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Consumption, Saving, Production, Employment, and Investment - - - Production
    • E27 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Consumption, Saving, Production, Employment, and Investment - - - Forecasting and Simulation: Models and Applications

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