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Dependencia espacial de la delincuencia en Monterrey, México

Author

Listed:
  • Ernesto Aguayo Téllez
  • Sandra Edith Medellín Mendoza

Abstract

Utilizando datos agregados por vecindario para 2010 en el Área Metropolitana de Monterrey (AMM), México, este trabajo investiga el efecto de las características del entorno en la delincuencia. Se corrobora la existencia de autocorrelación espacial en los datos, es decir, se encuentra que vecindarios con altos índices de delincuencia inciden positivamente en los índices de delincuencia de los vecindarios cercanos. Después de controlar por el sesgo causado por la autocorrelación espacial y la censura de los datos, se encuentra evidencia de que la probabilidad de ser víctima de un delito y la probabilidad de que alguien se convierta en delincuente está positivamente relacionada con el desempleo, el porcentaje de jóvenes varones y la existencia de centros comerciales en el vecindario.

Suggested Citation

  • Ernesto Aguayo Téllez & Sandra Edith Medellín Mendoza, 2014. "Dependencia espacial de la delincuencia en Monterrey, México," Revista Ecos de Economía, Universidad EAFIT, June.
    • Handle: RePEc:col:000442:012030
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    File URL: http://publicaciones.eafit.edu.co/index.php/ecos-economia/article/view/2514/2379
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    delincuencia; autocorrelación espacial; efectos de vecindario;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C34 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables - - - Truncated and Censored Models; Switching Regression Models
    • D01 - Microeconomics - - General - - - Microeconomic Behavior: Underlying Principles
    • D63 - Microeconomics - - Welfare Economics - - - Equity, Justice, Inequality, and Other Normative Criteria and Measurement

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