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Análisis del gasto militar desde la perspectiva de la economía de la defensa: El caso colombiano 1950-2006

Author

Listed:
  • Manfred Grautoff
  • Fernando Chavarro Miranda

Abstract

ResumenLa presente investigación centra su análisis en el gasto de defensa y seguridad (GDS) empleando el uso de la disciplina de la economía de defensa, la cual estudia las políticas de seguridad mediante la aplicación de herramientas elaboradas por la economía como son los métodos de análisis macroeconómico y microeconómico, optimización estática -dinámica, teoría de juegos y econometría. El interés por el estudio de la defensa y la seguridad es reciente y ha cobrado auge debido a la inserción de Colombia en el escenario internacional, a causa del conflicto interno que persiste en el país, y que ha llegado a ser parte de la agenda internacional. El sector defensa no ha tenido tradición tecnocrática, y el campo de investigación es incipiente, el presente trabajo presenta una aproximación al estudio del gasto en defensa y seguridad (GDS) entre 1950 - 2006, donde se comprobará como éste agregado macroeconómico se mantuvo por debajo del promedio regional a través del siglo XX. El GDS de este país no se correlaciona con el conflicto interno y la trayectoria que sigue es aleatoria; la política de seguridad y defensa es producto de eventos coyunturales y no el fruto de una planificación del primer bien público que debe entregar un Estado a sus ciudadanos, de esta forma la inferencia que este ha tenido sobre hacienda pública, no responde a una política pública estatal. AbstractThe present investigation centers its analysis in the cost of defense and security (GDS) using the use of the discipline of the defense economy, which studies the policies of security by means of the application of tools elaborated by the economy as they are the methods of macroeconomic and microeconomic analysis, static optimization - dynamic, theory of games and Econometry. The interest by the study of the defense and the security is recent and has received height due to the insertion of Colombia in the international scene, because of the internal conflict that persists in the country, and that has gotten to be part of the international agenda. The sector defense has not had technocratic tradition, and the Investigation field is incipient, the present work presents/displays an approach to the study of the cost in defense and security (GDS) between 1950 - 2006, where it will be verified as this one macroeconomic aggregate stayed below the regional average through century XX. The GDS of this country is not correlated with the internal conflict and the trajectory that follows is random; the policy of security and defense is product of conjuncture events and not the fruit of a planning of the first public good that must give a State to its citizens, of this form the inference that this it has had on public property, does not respond to a state public policy.

Suggested Citation

  • Manfred Grautoff & Fernando Chavarro Miranda, 2009. "Análisis del gasto militar desde la perspectiva de la economía de la defensa: El caso colombiano 1950-2006," Revista Ecos de Economía, Universidad EAFIT, April.
  • Handle: RePEc:col:000442:010524
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    File URL: http://publicaciones.eafit.edu.co/index.php/ecos-economia/article/view/200/217
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    Cited by:

    1. Riveros Gavilanes, John Michael, 2020. "Military Expenditure and Economic Growth: The South American Case," MPRA Paper 98508, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    2. John Michael, Riveros Gavilanes, 2019. "A Causality Analysis Of The Military Spending And Economic Growth: The Colombian Case Of 1960-2016," MPRA Paper 103255, University Library of Munich, Germany.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Gasto militar; economía; presupuesto nacional; series de tiempo.;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C13 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General - - - Estimation: General
    • C32 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes; State Space Models
    • E13 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - General Aggregative Models - - - Neoclassical

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