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Determinantes de la tasa de graduación y de la graduación a tiempo en la educación superior de Colombia 1998-2010

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  • Luis Omar Herrera P.

Abstract

Este documento utiliza datos panel del Ministerio de Educación Nacional desde 1998-1 hasta 2011-1 y evalúa factores individuales, socioeconómicos e institucionales que afectan la tasa de graduación y de graduación a tiempo de Educación Superior en Colombia. Se encuentra que la política de acceso a la Educación Superior ha cambiado fuertemente la composición de la población reduciendo las tasas de graduación, la calidad académica de los graduandos y aumentando el rezago del grado. El puntaje de la prueba de Estado Saber 11 es el determinante más relevante del grado y del grado a tiempo. El origen de la IES o el Nivel de Formación de la carrera no son un factor diferenciador. En general, las características de calidad de las IES no muestran relación alguna con la tasa de graduación y graduación a tiempo, siendo la selectividad la única variable explicativa significativa. This paper uses collegiate panel data from 1998 to 2011 from Colombia¿s Ministry Education to study factors that explain declining graduation and on-time graduation rates. The major force driving these declines is changes in student composition as a result of increased access to higher education among students with lower academic preparation. The strongest predictor of graduation and on-time graduation is student¿s score on the national college entrance exam. School selectivity is also related to graduation and on-time graduation although, in general, measures of institutional quality are not significant predictors.

Suggested Citation

  • Luis Omar Herrera P., 2013. "Determinantes de la tasa de graduación y de la graduación a tiempo en la educación superior de Colombia 1998-2010," Coyuntura Económica, Fedesarrollo, June.
    • Handle: RePEc:col:000438:011651
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    File URL: http://hdl.handle.net/11445/257
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Educación superior; Tasa de graduación; Graduación a tiempo; Calidad.Higher Education; Graduation Rate; Graduation on Time; Quality;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • I21 - Health, Education, and Welfare - - Education - - - Analysis of Education
    • I23 - Health, Education, and Welfare - - Education - - - Higher Education; Research Institutions
    • I24 - Health, Education, and Welfare - - Education - - - Education and Inequality
    • I25 - Health, Education, and Welfare - - Education - - - Education and Economic Development
    • C21 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Cross-Sectional Models; Spatial Models; Treatment Effect Models
    • C25 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Discrete Regression and Qualitative Choice Models; Discrete Regressors; Proportions; Probabilities

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