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Desarrollo local en Isla Grande: un modelo probabilístico para la pobreza

Author

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  • William Orlando Prieto Bustos

Abstract

El objetivo del presente documento es evaluar el estado actual del desarrollo local en Orika, principal asentamiento humano localizado en Isla Grande, la mayor de las 27 islas que componen el archipiélago de las Islas del Rosario en Cartagena, Colombia. Utilizando la racionalidad del concepto de desarrollo local, un modelo probabilístico para determinar la probabilidad de pobreza y la información proveniente del Censo Poblacional 2007 y la Encuesta de Hogares 2009 implementados por la Fundación Surtigas, se confirma la presunción teórica de que la exclusión y la vulnerabilidad de la población afro-descendiente, en cuanto al mercado laboral y la generación de ingresos, están asociadas a incrementos importantes en la probabilidad de ocurrencia de la pobreza.

Suggested Citation

  • William Orlando Prieto Bustos, 2010. "Desarrollo local en Isla Grande: un modelo probabilístico para la pobreza," Revista Semestre Económico, Universidad de Medellín, September.
    • Handle: RePEc:col:000217:007429
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    File URL: http://revistas.udem.edu.co/index.php/economico/article/view/263/246
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    Cited by:

    1. William Prieto Bustos, 2012. "Cognitive Sinergy as Determinant of Poverty Reduction," Documentos de Trabajo 10349, Universidad Católica de Colombia.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Economía regional; desarrollo local; modelos econométricos de probabilidad; pobreza.;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • R11 - Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics - - General Regional Economics - - - Regional Economic Activity: Growth, Development, Environmental Issues, and Changes
    • O18 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Development - - - Urban, Rural, Regional, and Transportation Analysis; Housing; Infrastructure
    • I32 - Health, Education, and Welfare - - Welfare, Well-Being, and Poverty - - - Measurement and Analysis of Poverty
    • C59 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling - - - Other

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