IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/col/000195/019163.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Variaciones previsibles del ingreso y su efecto sobre el consumo. Un análisis para la economía colombiana

Author

Listed:
  • Nicolás Ronderos

Abstract

En este trabajo se realiza una revisión de las teorías que explican los determinantes del consumo de los hogares. Con base en variaciones estacionales del ingreso de la econo-mía colombiana se realiza una estimación del ingreso previsible. Utilizando un modelo VAR(p) se encuentra evidencia a favor de la relación entre ingreso previsible hacia el consumo de los hogares, se apoya la llamada hipótesis de exceso de sensibilidad del consu-mo (Flavin, 1981). Se concluye que para la economía colombiana los consumidores no incorporan toda la información disponible para establecer su senda de gastos. Por lo cual, las variaciones previsibles en el ingreso disponible, causadas por cambios en el nivel de impuestos o subsidios, generan variaciones adicionales en las compras agregadas de los hogares.

Suggested Citation

  • Nicolás Ronderos, 2018. "Variaciones previsibles del ingreso y su efecto sobre el consumo. Un análisis para la economía colombiana," Revista CIFE, Universidad Santo Tomás, vol. 20(33), pages 17-37, July.
    • Handle: RePEc:col:000195:019163
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://revistas.usantotomas.edu.co/index.php/cife/article/view/4874/pdf
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Consumo; ingreso previsible; series de tiempo; contabilidad de innovaciones.;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E21 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Consumption, Saving, Production, Employment, and Investment - - - Consumption; Saving; Wealth
    • C32 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes; State Space Models

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:col:000195:019163. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    We have no bibliographic references for this item. You can help adding them by using this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Jorge Enrique Martínez Carvajal (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://edirc.repec.org/data/festaco.html .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.