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Órdenes de flujo, tasa de interés y tasa de cambio nominal: un ejemplo de redes neuronales para Colombia 2005

Author

Listed:
  • Octavio José Salcedo Parra
  • Marco Aguilera Prado

Abstract

El presente documento muestra un modelo de Redes Neuronales Artifi ciales, RNA, para el pronóstico de la tasa de cambio nominal en Colombia, que incluye órdenes de fl ujo y el diferencial de las tasas de interés como variables de entrada al modelo, hallando relaciones no lineales entre las mismas. Adicionalmente se plantean algunas conclusiones metodológicas a partir de los tradicionales esquemas econométricos para el manejo de las series de tiempo.

Suggested Citation

  • Octavio José Salcedo Parra & Marco Aguilera Prado, 2005. "Órdenes de flujo, tasa de interés y tasa de cambio nominal: un ejemplo de redes neuronales para Colombia 2005," Revista de Economía y Administración, Universidad Autónoma de Occidente, May.
    • Handle: RePEc:col:000156:003861
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Alfredo Bateman y Javier E. Martinez & Javier Esteban Martinez, 2010. "Cuaderno 4: Análisis de las fuentes de oferta y demanda en el mercado de divisas," Cuadernos de Desarrollo Económico 7586, Secretaría Distrital de Desarrollo Económico.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Tipo de cambio nominal; pronóstico; modelo no lineal; redes neuronales artificiales.;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C53 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling - - - Forecasting and Prediction Models; Simulation Methods
    • E37 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Forecasting and Simulation: Models and Applications

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