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Dinámica y determinantes del consumo de los hogares en Colombia, durante la postpandemia del Covid-19

Author

Listed:
  • Arias, Fernando

    (Banco de la República)

  • Lozano, Ignacio

    (Banco de la República)

  • Granger, Clark

    (Banco de la República)

  • Vasquéz, Diego

    (Banco de la República)

  • Vargas, Carmiña

    (Banco de la República)

  • Rodríguez, Norberto

    (Banco de la República)

  • Sánchez, Andrés

    (Banco de la República)

Abstract

Este documento analiza el comportamiento del consumo privado en Colombia durante la postpandemia del Covid-19. Inicialmente se compara la severidad de los confina-mientos y las respuestas fiscales entre países. Se evalúan los principales determinantes macroeconómicos del consumo, destacándose el ingreso disponible de los hogares, su ahorro y riqueza, la tasa de interés real y el crédito, las remesas y las transferencias monetarias del Gobierno. Los resultados muestran un rebote excepcional que registró el consumo en 2021 y 2022, impulsado por el crecimiento de estos factores. Para 2023 se prevé una desaceleración del consumo explicada por la contracción de sus principales determinantes

Suggested Citation

  • Arias, Fernando & Lozano, Ignacio & Granger, Clark & Vasquéz, Diego & Vargas, Carmiña & Rodríguez, Norberto & Sánchez, Andrés, 2023. "Dinámica y determinantes del consumo de los hogares en Colombia, durante la postpandemia del Covid-19," Revista de Economía del Rosario, Universidad del Rosario, vol. 26(2), pages 1-36, Diciembre.
    • Handle: RePEc:col:000151:021316
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    consumo privado; ciclo económico; Covid-19; fmols; modelos de cointe-gración.;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C22 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes
    • C30 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables - - - General
    • E22 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Consumption, Saving, Production, Employment, and Investment - - - Investment; Capital; Intangible Capital; Capacity
    • E66 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Macroeconomic Policy, Macroeconomic Aspects of Public Finance, and General Outlook - - - General Outlook and Conditions
    • H54 - Public Economics - - National Government Expenditures and Related Policies - - - Infrastructures

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