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Consumo privado e ingreso permanente: Nueva evidencia para Colombia

Author

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  • Sergio Clavijo V.
  • Javier Fernández R.

Abstract

El objetivo de este trabajo es revisar el estado actual del debate sobre los determinantes macroeconómicos del consumo privado (o del ahorro) en Colombia y depurar las estimaciones econométricas que han servido hasta el momento como sustento empírico de diversas hipótesis. Estimaciones por métodos tradicionales nos permitieron establecer que los determinantes fundamentales del consumo privado real vienen dados por los efectos transitorios de los términos de intercambio, que afectan el ingreso real, así como por los efectos distributivos de las exportaciones y los efectos complementarios de las importaciones. Este es un resultado novedoso para Colombia. El análisis por series de tiempo indica que, al utilizarse la descomposición del ingreso real, se encuentra alguna evidencia a favor de a hipótesis del ingreso permanente, pues la propensión media a consumir el ingreso transitorio resulta inferior a la del permanente.

Suggested Citation

  • Sergio Clavijo V. & Javier Fernández R., 1989. "Consumo privado e ingreso permanente: Nueva evidencia para Colombia," Revista ESPE - Ensayos Sobre Política Económica, Banco de la República, vol. 8(16), pages 3-44, December.
    • Handle: RePEc:col:000107:014065
    DOI: 10.32468/Espe.1601
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    Cited by:

    1. Cabrera Valverde, Diana Gisell & Rosero Oliveros, Tania Marcela & Riascos Hermosa, Julio César, 2019. "Principales Determinantes Económicos del Consumo en Colombia 2000 - 2015," Revista Tendencias, Universidad de Narino, vol. 20(1), pages 77-106, January.
    2. Alejandro Gómez Sorzano, 1996. "Los efectos dinámicos de perturbaciones nominales sobre el PIB permanente y transitorio colombiano," Ensayos de Economía 9509, Universidad Nacional de Colombia Sede Medellín.

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