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Efectos económicos de los cierres por COVID-19: una perspectiva regional

Author

Listed:
  • Gustavo Hernández
  • Luis Felipe Quintero

Abstract

Distintos trabajos han estimado los efectos del confinamiento, como consecuencia del COVID-19, sobre la producción y el empleo a nivel nacional, pero pocos a nivel regional. Así, utilizando una matriz insumo producto regional para Colombia, y mediante una variación de un método de extracción hipotética, se estima- ron los efectos regionales del confinamiento sobre la producción y el empleo. Se encontró que los choques negativos sobre la economía impactan la producción, esta disminuyó 8,2 %, lo que conllevó una caída en el empleo de 3,5 millones de puestos de trabajo, esto es consecuencia de heterogeneidad de los efectos entre los departamentos. ****** Several studies have estimated the effects of lockdowns, owing to Covid-19, on production and employment on a national level but few on a regional level. Thus, using a regional input output matrix for Colombia, and by means of a variation of a hypothetical extraction method, the regional effects on production and employment on account of lockdown are estimated. It was found that the negative repercussions on the economy impact production which decreases by 8.2%, leading to a reduction in employment of 3.5 million jobs, this the result of the heterogeneity of effects between departments.

Suggested Citation

  • Gustavo Hernández & Luis Felipe Quintero, 2021. "Efectos económicos de los cierres por COVID-19: una perspectiva regional," Revista Cuadernos de Economia, Universidad Nacional de Colombia, FCE, CID, vol. 40(85), pages 1113-1132, December.
    • Handle: RePEc:col:000093:020315
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    COVID-19; economía regional; matrices insumo-producto; métodos de extracción hipotética.;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C67 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Mathematical Methods; Programming Models; Mathematical and Simulation Modeling - - - Input-Output Models
    • E23 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Consumption, Saving, Production, Employment, and Investment - - - Production
    • E24 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Consumption, Saving, Production, Employment, and Investment - - - Employment; Unemployment; Wages; Intergenerational Income Distribution; Aggregate Human Capital; Aggregate Labor Productivity
    • R12 - Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics - - General Regional Economics - - - Size and Spatial Distributions of Regional Economic Activity; Interregional Trade (economic geography)
    • R15 - Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics - - General Regional Economics - - - Econometric and Input-Output Models; Other Methods

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