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Estimating Risk and Excessive Risk-Taking in Colombia´s Commercial Banks

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  • Diego Ramos Toro

Abstract

The document estimates the risk embraced by Colombian commercial banks, and establishes a measurement of excessive risk-taking that is consistent with such estimation. The construction of the excessive-risk measurement follows the basic efficient-portfolio framework, in which the variance of an aggregate portfolio is minimized subject to an observed return. Return and risk-taking in Colombia´s banking industry appear to decrease between December 2007 and May 2011. In spite of this, the excess-risk exhibits an upward trend, and denotes an increasing suboptimality when considered as a proportion of the observed risk. Hence, a reduction in the risk embraced by Colombian banks paradoxically coincides with an increase in their instability.

Suggested Citation

  • Diego Ramos Toro, 2013. "Estimating Risk and Excessive Risk-Taking in Colombia´s Commercial Banks," Revista Desarrollo y Sociedad, Universidad de los Andes,Facultad de Economía, CEDE, January.
  • Handle: RePEc:col:000090:010423
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    File URL: http://economia.uniandes.edu.co/revistadys/Articulo70_6.pdf
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Financial stability; risk attitudes; risk; excessive risk-taking; bank;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E44 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates - - - Financial Markets and the Macroeconomy
    • G11 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Portfolio Choice; Investment Decisions
    • G21 - Financial Economics - - Financial Institutions and Services - - - Banks; Other Depository Institutions; Micro Finance Institutions; Mortgages

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