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Intertemporal Substitution and Durable Goods: An Empirical Analysis

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  • Yvon Fauvel
  • Lucie Samson

Abstract

The hypothesis that large fluctuations in observed quantities are induced by intertemporal substitution is frequently used in modern macroeconomics. One channel through which fluctuations in real rates of return on savings can impact on the economy is via their influence on the purchases of durable goods by consumers. This paper proposes and estimates a model of an optimizing agent who is faced with the problem of allocating intertemporally his consumption of nondurable and durable goods when confronted with a fluctuating rate of return. Expectations are assumed to be formed rationally. The authors' analysis of Canadian data is favorable to this class of models.

Suggested Citation

  • Yvon Fauvel & Lucie Samson, 1991. "Intertemporal Substitution and Durable Goods: An Empirical Analysis," Canadian Journal of Economics, Canadian Economics Association, vol. 24(1), pages 192-205, February.
    • Handle: RePEc:cje:issued:v:24:y:1991:i:1:p:192-205
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Arif Oduncu, 2012. "Determinants of Precautionary Savings : Elasticity of Intertemporal Substitution vs. Risk Aversion," Working Papers 1227, Research and Monetary Policy Department, Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey.
    2. Reinhart, Carmen & Vegh, Carlos, 1994. "Inflation stabilization in chronic inflation countries: The empirical evidence," MPRA Paper 13689, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    3. Masao Ogaki & Carmen M. Reinhart, 1998. "Measuring Intertemporal Substitution: The Role of Durable Goods," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 106(5), pages 1078-1098, October.
    4. Ivana Lolić & Marija Logarušić & Mirjana Čižmešija, 2022. "Recent Revision of the European Consumer Confidence Indicator: Is There any additional Space for Improvement?," Social Indicators Research: An International and Interdisciplinary Journal for Quality-of-Life Measurement, Springer, vol. 159(3), pages 845-863, February.
    5. Lopez Murphy, Ricardo & Navajas, Fernando, 1998. "Domestic savings, public savings and expenditures on consumer durable goods in Argentina," Journal of Development Economics, Elsevier, vol. 57(1), pages 97-116, October.
    6. Reinhart, Carmen M. & Vegh, Carlos A., 1995. "Nominal interest rates, consumption booms, and lack of credibility: A quantitative examination," Journal of Development Economics, Elsevier, vol. 46(2), pages 357-378, April.
    7. Shigeo Morita, 2017. "Optimal income taxation without commitment: policy implications of durable goods," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 37(4), pages 2917-2934.
    8. Calvo, Guillermo A. & Vegh, Carlos A., 1999. "Inflation stabilization and bop crises in developing countries," Handbook of Macroeconomics, in: J. B. Taylor & M. Woodford (ed.), Handbook of Macroeconomics, edition 1, volume 1, chapter 24, pages 1531-1614, Elsevier.
    9. Masakatsu Okubo, 2011. "The Intertemporal Elasticity of Substitution: An Analysis Based on Japanese Data," Economica, London School of Economics and Political Science, vol. 78(310), pages 367-390, April.
    10. Stanley Fischer & Ratna Sahay & Carlos A. Végh, 2002. "Modern Hyper- and High Inflations," Journal of Economic Literature, American Economic Association, vol. 40(3), pages 837-880, September.
    11. Laura Alfaro, 2002. "On the Political Economy of Temporary Stabilization Programs," Economics and Politics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 14(2), pages 133-161, July.
    12. Sen, Amit, 1999. "Approximate p-values of predictive tests for structural stability," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 63(3), pages 245-253, June.
    13. Steven Silver, 2010. "Convergence in Revealed Preferences for Automobiles as Differentiated Goods: U.S. and OECD Countries: 1970–1999," Atlantic Economic Journal, Springer;International Atlantic Economic Society, vol. 38(1), pages 3-14, March.
    14. Amadeu DaSilva & Mira Farka, 2018. "Asset pricing puzzles in an OLG economy with generalized preference," European Financial Management, European Financial Management Association, vol. 24(3), pages 331-361, June.
    15. Nadenichek, Jon, 1999. "Consumer durable goods in an international real business cycle framework," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 39(2), pages 233-247.
    16. Julian Thimme, 2017. "Intertemporal Substitution In Consumption: A Literature Review," Journal of Economic Surveys, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 31(1), pages 226-257, February.

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