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The Response of Short-term Interest Rates and Exchange Rates to Weekly Money Announcements

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  • M. Aynul Hasan
  • Hassouna Moussa

Abstract

The efficiency hypothesis for financial markets requires that only the unexpected portion of the growth rate of money-supply announcements be significant in the determination of short-term changes in interest and exchange rates. In this paper, the authors argue that, in the face of an unstable monetary policy, old information should also affect interest and exchange rate changes. This does not constitute a refutation of the efficient market hypothesis, because the unstable policy requires rational economic agents to learn. The authors test the proposition using weekly Canadian financial data over the period 1976-82 and find evidence to support it.

Suggested Citation

  • M. Aynul Hasan & Hassouna Moussa, 1991. "The Response of Short-term Interest Rates and Exchange Rates to Weekly Money Announcements," Canadian Journal of Economics, Canadian Economics Association, vol. 24(1), pages 161-174, February.
  • Handle: RePEc:cje:issued:v:24:y:1991:i:1:p:161-74
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    Cited by:

    1. Peter C. Liu, 1994. "Are Money Announcement Forecasts Rational?," Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 56(4), pages 475-483, November.

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