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Euro Area real effective exchange rate misalignments

Author

Listed:
  • Benjamin Carton
  • Karine Hervé

Abstract

The resolution of the eurozone crisis requires, amongst other things, successful relative price adjustments between member states. We estimate here the scale of the adjustments needed using fundamental equilibrium exchange rates. We suggest two scenarios of adjustments, depending on the levels of inflation tolerated in surplus countries and at the Euro Area level. If the ECB doesn't temporarily increase its inflation objective, Portugal and Greece will be unable to significantly reduce their overvaluation by the end of the decade.

Suggested Citation

  • Benjamin Carton & Karine Hervé, 2012. "Euro Area real effective exchange rate misalignments," La Lettre du CEPII, CEPII research center, issue 319.
    • Handle: RePEc:cii:cepill:2012-319
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    File URL: http://www.cepii.fr/PDF_PUB/lettre/2012/let319ang.pdf
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Robert Kollmann & Marco Ratto & Werner Roeger & Jan in't Veld & Lukas Vogel, 2015. "What drives the German current account? And how does it affect other EU Member States?," Economic Policy, CEPR, CESifo, Sciences Po;CES;MSH, vol. 30(81), pages 47-93.
    2. A. Berthou. & G. Gaulier., 2013. "Wage dynamics and current account rebalancing in the euro area," Quarterly selection of articles - Bulletin de la Banque de France, Banque de France, issue 30, pages 71-91, Summer.
    3. Servaas Storm & C.W.M. Naastepad, 2015. "NAIRU economics and the Eurozone crisis," International Review of Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 29(6), pages 843-877, November.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Exchange Rates; Current Account Adjustment; Euro Area;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • F31 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - Foreign Exchange
    • F32 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - Current Account Adjustment; Short-term Capital Movements
    • F36 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - Financial Aspects of Economic Integration

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