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Trade-FDI Linkages in a Simultaneous Equations System of Gravity Models for German Regional Data

Author

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  • Timo Mitze
  • Alecke Björn
  • Untiedt Gerhard

Abstract

Using regional data, we analyze the nature of German trade-FDI linkages within the EU27 for a system of gravity equations. Starting from a macroeconomic perspective, our analysis supports earlier empirical evidence for Germany in finding substitutive links between trade and outward FDI. However, switching to a (macro-)regional perspective, we reveal additional complementary correlations, which can be motivated by recent theoretical approaches. We also find regional heterogeneity, which emphasizes the need to take into account the regional dimension in analyzing cross-variable linkages between trade and FDI.

Suggested Citation

  • Timo Mitze & Alecke Björn & Untiedt Gerhard, 2010. "Trade-FDI Linkages in a Simultaneous Equations System of Gravity Models for German Regional Data," International Economics, CEPII research center, issue 122, pages 121-162.
    • Handle: RePEc:cii:cepiie:2010-q2-122-5
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    Cited by:

    1. Mariam Camarero & Estrella Gómez-Herrera & Cecilio Tamarit, 2018. "New Evidence on Trade and FDI: how Large is the Euro Effect?," Open Economies Review, Springer, vol. 29(2), pages 451-467, April.
    2. Harald Badinger & Jesus Crespo Cuaresma, 2015. "Aggregravity: estimating gravity models from aggregate data," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 47(20), pages 2119-2126, April.
    3. Xuan Wei & Suzanne Thornsbury & David Schweikhardt, 2017. "Hurdles to Exporting: A Decomposition of Fixed Export Costs," Review of Economics & Finance, Better Advances Press, Canada, vol. 7, pages 1-18, February.
    4. Rodolfo Metulini & Massimo Riccaboni & Paolo Sgrignoli & Zhen Zhu, 2017. "The Indirect Effects of FDI on Trade: A Network Perspective," Working Papers 04/2017, IMT School for Advanced Studies Lucca, revised Mar 2017.
    5. Idrisova, Vittoria (Идрисова, Виттория), 2017. "Determinants of Value-Added Exports: The Role of Import Demand Factors [Детерминанты Экспорта Добавленной Стоимости: Роль Факторов Спроса На Импорт]," Working Papers 051715, Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration.
    6. Dong Phong Nguyen & Xuan Vinh Vo, 2017. "Determinants of bilateral trade: evidence from ASEAN+3," Asian-Pacific Economic Literature, The Crawford School, The Australian National University, vol. 31(2), pages 115-122, November.
    7. Tiba, Sofien & Frikha, Mohamed, 2018. "Income, trade openness and energy interactions: Evidence from simultaneous equation modeling," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 147(C), pages 799-811.
    8. Camarero, Mariam & Montolio, Laura & Tamarit, Cecilio, 2019. "What drives German foreign direct investment? New evidence using Bayesian statistical techniques," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 83(C), pages 326-345.
    9. Mariam Camarero & Laura Montolio & Cecilio Tamarit, 2019. "Alternative Estimators For The Fdi Gravity Model: An Application To German Outward Fdi," Working Papers 1907, Department of Applied Economics II, Universidad de Valencia.
    10. Bassem Kahouli & Anis Omri & Anissa Chaibi, 2014. "Environmental Regulations, Trade, and Foreign Direct Investment: Evidence from Gravity Equations," Working Papers 2014-189, Department of Research, Ipag Business School.
    11. Schmeiser, Katherine N., 2013. "The firm export and FDI choice in the context of gravity," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 27(C), pages 592-596.
    12. Mariam Camarero & Laura Montolio & Cecilio Tamarit, 2019. "Determinants of German outward FDI: variable selection using Bayesian statistical," Working Papers 1906, Department of Applied Economics II, Universidad de Valencia.
    13. Rodolfo Metulini & Massimo Riccaboni & Paolo Sgrignoli & Zhen Zhu, 2017. "The indirect effects of foreign direct investment on trade: A network perspective," The World Economy, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 40(10), pages 2193-2225, October.
    14. Schmeiser, Katherine N. & Ricaurte, Miguel F., 2012. "Tradability and market penetration costs: Explaining foreign market servicing intensities," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 22(1), pages 190-200.
    15. Kahouli, Bassem & Omri, Anis, 2017. "Foreign direct investment, foreign trade and environment: New evidence from simultaneous-equation system of gravity models," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 42(C), pages 353-364.
    16. Mitze, Timo & Breidenbach, Philipp, 2018. "Economic integration and growth at the margin: A space-time incremental impact analysis," Ruhr Economic Papers 775, RWI - Leibniz-Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung, Ruhr-University Bochum, TU Dortmund University, University of Duisburg-Essen.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Trade; FDI; panel data; simultaneous equations;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C33 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables - - - Models with Panel Data; Spatio-temporal Models
    • F14 - International Economics - - Trade - - - Empirical Studies of Trade
    • F21 - International Economics - - International Factor Movements and International Business - - - International Investment; Long-Term Capital Movements

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