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Bestimmungsfaktoren von subjektiver Unsicherheit auf der Firmenebene

Author

Listed:
  • Ruediger Bachmann
  • Kai Carstensen
  • Martin Schneider

Abstract

Das ifo Institut befragt seit Anfang 2013 die an den ifo Konjunkturumfragen teilnehmenden Firmen des Verarbeitenden Gewerbes nach Zukunftsszenarien für ihren Umsatz im nächsten Quartal und leitet daraus verschiedene Erwartungsgrößen ab. Eine dieser Größen – der Unterschied zwischen dem Umsatzwachstum im besten und im schlechtesten Fall – lässt sich als Maß der subjektiven unternehmerischen Unsicherheit interpretieren. Es zeigt sich, dass Unsicherheit in Zeiten des Wandels zunimmt, selbst wenn dieser Wandel erwartet wurde.

Suggested Citation

  • Ruediger Bachmann & Kai Carstensen & Martin Schneider, 2021. "Bestimmungsfaktoren von subjektiver Unsicherheit auf der Firmenebene," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 74(06), pages 57-62, June.
  • Handle: RePEc:ces:ifosdt:v:74:y:2021:i:06:p:57-62
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    File URL: https://www.ifo.de/DocDL/sd-2021-06-bachmann-carstensen-schneider-unsicherheit.pdf
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Management; Unternehmen; Entscheidung unter Unsicherheit;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • D81 - Microeconomics - - Information, Knowledge, and Uncertainty - - - Criteria for Decision-Making under Risk and Uncertainty
    • L21 - Industrial Organization - - Firm Objectives, Organization, and Behavior - - - Business Objectives of the Firm
    • L26 - Industrial Organization - - Firm Objectives, Organization, and Behavior - - - Entrepreneurship

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