IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/ces/ifosdt/v72y2019i09p38-44.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Schrumpfende Boomregionen – ein Problemfall der regionalen Entwicklung

Author

Listed:
  • Hubertus Bardt
  • Anja Katrin Orth

Abstract

Während der demographische Wandel und die schlechteren wirtschaftlichen Perspektiven schrumpfender Re­­gionen oftmals Hand in Hand gehen, fällt bei einigen Regionen eine besondere Entwicklung auf. Hier verbindet sich eine wachsende Beschäftigung mit einer sinkenden Bevölkerung. Die Region schrumpft, obwohl sich die wirtschaftlichen Aussichten vor Ort verbessert haben. Dort ist es für die florierenden Unternehmen schwer, die notwendigen Fachkräfte zu gewinnen, um das Wachstum des Unternehmens zu gewährleisten. Wenn sich diese Situation weiter verschlechtert, müssen Unternehmen möglicherweise einzelne Funktionen oder ganze Betriebe an andere inländische oder ausländische Standorte verlagern, die attraktiver für qualifizierte Mitarbeiter sind. Hubertus Bardt und Anja Katrin Orth, Institut der deutschen Wirtschaft, Köln, ermitteln anhand der Entwicklung von Bevölkerung und sozialversicherungspflichtiger Beschäftigung die schrumpfenden Boom­regionen in Deutschland. Die dabei identifizierten Problemregionen weisen eine überdurchschnittlich ausgeprägte Anspannung am Arbeitsmarkt auf. Den drohenden Abwärtstendenzen, die sich trotz positiver wirtschaftlicher Aussichten ergeben können, muss durch Anstrengungen der beteiligten Unternehmen und Kommunen begegnet werden. Gemeinsam müssen sie die Attraktivität der Städte besonders für mobile und gut qualifizierte Bevölkerungsgruppen stärken.

Suggested Citation

  • Hubertus Bardt & Anja Katrin Orth, 2019. "Schrumpfende Boomregionen – ein Problemfall der regionalen Entwicklung," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 72(09), pages 38-44, May.
  • Handle: RePEc:ces:ifosdt:v:72:y:2019:i:09:p:38-44
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://www.ifo.de/DocDL/sd-2019-09-bardt-orth-boomregionen-2019-05-09.pdf
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Mark D. Partridge, 2010. "The duelling models: NEG vs amenity migration in explaining US engines of growth," Papers in Regional Science, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 89(3), pages 513-536, August.
    2. Bardt, Hubertus & Orth, Anja Katrin, 2018. "Schrumpfende Boomregionen in Deutschland," IW-Reports 49/2018, Institut der deutschen Wirtschaft (IW) / German Economic Institute.
    3. Kaivan Munshi, 2003. "Networks in the Modern Economy: Mexican Migrants in the U. S. Labor Market," The Quarterly Journal of Economics, President and Fellows of Harvard College, vol. 118(2), pages 549-599.
    4. Burstedde, Alexander & Malin, Lydia & Risius, Paula, 2017. "Fachkräfteengpässe in Unternehmen. Rezepte gegen den Fachkräftemangel: Internationale Fachkräfte, ältere Beschäftigte und Frauen finden und binden," KOFA-Studien 4/2017, Kompetenzzentrum Fachkräftesicherung (KOFA), Institut der deutschen Wirtschaft (IW) / German Economic Institute.
    5. Bardt, Hubertus & Grömling, Michael & Hentze, Tobias & Puls, Thomas, 2017. "Investieren Staat und Unternehmen in Deutschland zu wenig? Bestandsaufnahme und Handlungsbedarf," IW-Analysen, Institut der deutschen Wirtschaft (IW) / German Economic Institute, volume 118, number 118.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Rodríguez-Pose, Andrés & von Berlepsch, Viola, 2020. "Migration-prone and migration-averse places. Path dependence in long-term migration to the US," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 103973, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
    2. Jesúús Fernández-Huertas Moraga, 2011. "New Evidence on Emigrant Selection," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 93(1), pages 72-96, February.
    3. Johannes Buggle & Thierry Mayer & Seyhun Orcan Sakalli & Mathias Thoenig, 2023. "The Refugee’s Dilemma: Evidence from Jewish Migration out of Nazi Germany," The Quarterly Journal of Economics, President and Fellows of Harvard College, vol. 138(2), pages 1273-1345.
    4. Anthony Briant & Pierre-Philippe Combes & Miren Lafourcade, 2014. "Product Complexity, Quality of Institutions and the Protrade Effect of Immigrants," The World Economy, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 37(1), pages 63-85, January.
    5. Glitz, Albrecht, 2014. "Ethnic segregation in Germany," Labour Economics, Elsevier, vol. 29(C), pages 28-40.
    6. Mariya Aleksynska & Barry Chiswick, 2013. "The determinants of religiosity among immigrants and the native born in Europe," Review of Economics of the Household, Springer, vol. 11(4), pages 563-598, December.
    7. Alan De Brauw, 2007. "Seasonal Migration and Agriculture in Vietnam," Working Papers 07-04, Agricultural and Development Economics Division of the Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations (FAO - ESA).
    8. Olli Lehtonen & Markku Tykkyläinen, 2018. "Path dependence in net migration during the ICT boom and two other growth periods: the case of Finland, 1980-2013," Journal of Evolutionary Economics, Springer, vol. 28(3), pages 547-564, August.
    9. Ambler, Kate, 2015. "Don't tell on me: Experimental evidence of asymmetric information in transnational households," Journal of Development Economics, Elsevier, vol. 113(C), pages 52-69.
    10. Guy Stecklov & Paul Winters & Marco Stampini & Benjamin Davis, 2003. "Can Public Transfers Reduce Mexican Migration? A study based on randomized experimental data," Working Papers 03-16, Agricultural and Development Economics Division of the Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations (FAO - ESA).
    11. Deepti Goel & Kevin Lang, 2019. "Social Ties and the Job Search of Recent Immigrants," ILR Review, Cornell University, ILR School, vol. 72(2), pages 355-381, March.
    12. Bühler, Mathias, 2024. "Who Benefits from Free Trade?," World Development, Elsevier, vol. 179(C).
    13. Raphaël Soubeyran, 2019. "Technology adoption and pro-social preferences," CEE-M Working Papers halshs-02291905, CEE-M, Universtiy of Montpellier, CNRS, INRA, Montpellier SupAgro.
    14. Nikolova, Milena & Roman, Monica & Zimmermann, Klaus F., 2017. "Left behind but doing good? Civic engagement in two post-socialist countries," Journal of Comparative Economics, Elsevier, vol. 45(3), pages 658-684.
    15. Giulietti, Corrado & Vlassopoulos, Michael & Zenou, Yves, 2021. "When Reality Bites: Local Deaths and Vaccine Take-Up," GLO Discussion Paper Series 999, Global Labor Organization (GLO).
    16. Wineman, Ayala & Jayne, Thomas S., 2016. "Intra-Rural Migration in Tanzania and Pathways of Welfare Change," 2016 Annual Meeting, July 31-August 2, Boston, Massachusetts 235957, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.
    17. Melissa Dell & Benjamin F. Jones & Benjamin A. Olken, 2014. "What Do We Learn from the Weather? The New Climate-Economy Literature," Journal of Economic Literature, American Economic Association, vol. 52(3), pages 740-798, September.
    18. Caballero, María Esther & Cadena, Brian C. & Kovak, Brian K., 2023. "The international transmission of local economic shocks through migrant networks," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 145(C).
    19. Beine, Michel & Docquier, Frédéric & Özden, Çaglar, 2011. "Diasporas," Journal of Development Economics, Elsevier, vol. 95(1), pages 30-41, May.
    20. Delia Furtado, 2012. "Human Capital And Interethnic Marriage Decisions," Economic Inquiry, Western Economic Association International, vol. 50(1), pages 82-93, January.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Regionaler Strukturwandel; Arbeitsmarkt; Regionalentwicklung; Unternehmen; Standortfaktor; Demographie;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • R58 - Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics - - Regional Government Analysis - - - Regional Development Planning and Policy
    • J11 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Demographic Economics - - - Demographic Trends, Macroeconomic Effects, and Forecasts
    • J21 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Demand and Supply of Labor - - - Labor Force and Employment, Size, and Structure
    • J24 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Demand and Supply of Labor - - - Human Capital; Skills; Occupational Choice; Labor Productivity

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:ces:ifosdt:v:72:y:2019:i:09:p:38-44. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Klaus Wohlrabe (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://edirc.repec.org/data/ifooode.html .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.