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Vorjahrespreisbasis: Aggregation und Wachstumsbeiträge

Author

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  • Wolfgang Nierhaus

Abstract

Das Statistische Bundesamt hat bei der Revision der Volkswirtschaftlichen Gesamtrechnungen im Jahr 2005 die Berechnung des realen Bruttoinlandsprodukts von der Festpreisbasis auf die Vorjahrespreisbasis umgestellt. Ein zentrales Problem dieser Volumenrechnung ist die Nichtadditivität der Ergebnisse. Für die Ermittlung von Aggregaten und Wachstumsbeiträgen müssen deshalb Sonderwege beschritten werden. Der Beitrag rekapituliert die wichtigsten Rechenregeln und geht auf methodische Weiterentwicklungen ein.

Suggested Citation

  • Wolfgang Nierhaus, 2016. "Vorjahrespreisbasis: Aggregation und Wachstumsbeiträge," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 69(11), pages 39-45, June.
    • Handle: RePEc:ces:ifosdt:v:69:y:2016:i:11:p:39-45
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    File URL: https://www.ifo.de/DocDL/sd-2016-11-nierhaus_aggregation-vorjahrespreisniveau-2016-06-09.pdf
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Marcus Cobb, 2013. "Industry Contributions to GDP Quarterly Growth," Economic Statistics Series 100, Central Bank of Chile.
    2. Cobb, Marcus, 2014. "Explaining GDP Quarterly Growth from its Components in the Context of the Annual Overlap Method: A Comparison of Approaches," MPRA Paper 58022, University Library of Munich, Germany.
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    Cited by:

    1. Franziska Fobbe & Robert Lehmann, 2016. "Elektromotoren, Energieversorgung und Erziehung: Die Güte der entstehungsseitigen ifo-Kurzfristprognose," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 69(12), pages 58-63, June.
    2. Wolfgang Nierhaus, 2020. "Realwert des Bruttoinlandsprodukts und Terms of Trade: Ergebnisse für das Jahr 2019," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 73(03), pages 55-57, March.

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    1. Cobb, Marcus, 2014. "Identifying the Sources of Seasonal Effects in an indirectly adjusted Chain-Linked Aggregate: A Framework for the Annual Overlap Method," MPRA Paper 58033, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    2. Marcus Cobb, 2014. "GDP Forecasting Bias due to Aggregation Inaccuracy in a Chain- Linking Framework," Working Papers Central Bank of Chile 721, Central Bank of Chile.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Volkswirtschaftliche Gesamtrechnung; Bruttoinlandsprodukt; Aggregation; Wirtschaftswachstum;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • H61 - Public Economics - - National Budget, Deficit, and Debt - - - Budget; Budget Systems
    • E01 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - General - - - Measurement and Data on National Income and Product Accounts and Wealth; Environmental Accounts
    • C43 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods: Special Topics - - - Index Numbers and Aggregation

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