IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/ces/ifosdt/v66y2013i04p03-14.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Asien, Lateinamerika: Verschiebt der Aufstieg der neuen Wachstumsmärkte das Kräfteverhältnis auf dem Weltmarkt?

Author

Listed:
  • Barbara Dluhosch
  • Michael Pflüger
  • Philipp Ehrl
  • Volker Treier

Abstract

In Asien entsteht eine neue Freihandelszone, und auch Lateinamerika plant den Abschluss eines Handelsabkommens. Führt der Aufstieg der neuen Wachstumsmärkte zu einem neuen Kräfteverhältnis auf dem Weltmarkt und einer Verschiebung des Schwerpunkts des Welthandels? Für Barbara Dluhosch, Helmut-Schmidt-Universität/Universität der Bundeswehr Hamburg, besteht kein Zweifel daran, dass sich die Wachstumspole der Weltwirtschaft in den letzten Jahren verschoben haben. Der verstärkte Wettbewerb der Wirtschaftspolitiken könne heilsame, da disziplinierende, Wirkung entfalten. Zwar seien die wirtschaftspolitischen Prioritäten je nach Entwicklungsstand der Wirtschaftsräume unterschiedlich, jedoch spreche die bisherige Erfahrung dafür, dass mit dem Einkommen auch die Nachfrage nach z.B. Umweltschutz und besseren Arbeitsbedingungen zunehme. Insoweit habe der Wachstumsprozess sein Erfreuliches. Die sich vollziehende Verlagerung ökonomischer Macht vom bisherigen Kraftzentrum der Weltwirtschaft, Nordamerika, Europa und Japan, auf die sich dynamisch entwickelnden Volkswirtschaften in Asien und Lateinamerika ist auch für Michael Pflüger und Philipp Ehrl, Universität Passau, evident. Es gehe dabei um die Ablösung des Washington-Konsensus, in dem der dominante Einfluss der Vereinigten Staaten auf die weltwirtschaftlichen Institutionen zum Ausdruck kommt. Bei allen anstehenden Fragen solle nicht übersehen werden, dass von den neuen Wachstumsmärkten nicht nur Bedrohungen, sondern auch Chancen ausgehen. Die Verlagerung der Gewichte auf der Welt bietet nach Meinung von Volker Treier, Deutscher Industrie- und Handelskammertag (DIHK), Berlin, Chancen für die Weltwirtschaft: Mehrere starke Zentren reduzieren die Abhängigkeit und befördern den Wettbewerb. Die neue wirtschaftliche Bedeutung Asiens und auch Lateinamerikas bedeute aber nicht, dass die dortigen Mächte schon stark genug seien, um den globalen wirtschaftlichen Ordnungsrahmen sichtbar zu prägen.

Suggested Citation

  • Barbara Dluhosch & Michael Pflüger & Philipp Ehrl & Volker Treier, 2013. "Asien, Lateinamerika: Verschiebt der Aufstieg der neuen Wachstumsmärkte das Kräfteverhältnis auf dem Weltmarkt?," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 66(04), pages 03-14, March.
    • Handle: RePEc:ces:ifosdt:v:66:y:2013:i:04:p:03-14
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://www.ifo.de/DocDL/ifosd_2013_04_1.pdf
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Barry Eichengreen & Donghyun Park & Kwanho Shin, 2012. "When Fast-Growing Economies Slow Down: International Evidence and Implications for China," Asian Economic Papers, MIT Press, vol. 11(1), pages 42-87, Winter/Sp.
    2. Stanley Fischer, 2003. "Globalization and Its Challenges," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 93(2), pages 1-30, May.
    3. Gordon H. Hanson, 2012. "The Rise of Middle Kingdoms: Emerging Economies in Global Trade," Journal of Economic Perspectives, American Economic Association, vol. 26(2), pages 41-64, Spring.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Han, Junhee & Lee, Keun, 2022. "Heterogeneous technology and specialization for economic growth beyond the middle-income stage," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 112(C).
    2. Dani Rodrik, 2018. "Populism and the economics of globalization," Journal of International Business Policy, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 1(1), pages 12-33, June.
    3. Rodrigo Mesa-Arango & Badri Narayanan & Satish V. Ukkusuri, 2019. "The Impact of International Crises on Maritime Transportation Based Global Value Chains," Networks and Spatial Economics, Springer, vol. 19(2), pages 381-408, June.
    4. Jose Asturias & Sewon Hur & Timothy J. Kehoe & Kim J. Ruhl, 2023. "Firm Entry and Exit and Aggregate Growth," American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics, American Economic Association, vol. 15(1), pages 48-105, January.
    5. Kristin J. Forbes, 2007. "The Microeconomic Evidence on Capital Controls: No Free Lunch," NBER Chapters, in: Capital Controls and Capital Flows in Emerging Economies: Policies, Practices, and Consequences, pages 171-202, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    6. Barry Eichengreen & Donghyun Park & Kwanho Shin, 2017. "The Global Productivity Slump: Common and Country-Specific Factors," Asian Economic Papers, MIT Press, vol. 16(3), pages 1-41, Fall.
    7. repec:zbw:bofitp:2015_005 is not listed on IDEAS
    8. Yilmaz Akyuz, 2006. "From Liberalization To Investment and Jobs: Lost in Translation," Working Papers 2006/3, Turkish Economic Association.
    9. Murach, Michael & Wagner, Helmut & Kim, Jungsuk & Park, Donghyun, 2022. "Trajectories to high income: Comparing the growth dynamics in China, South Korea, and Japan with cointegrated VAR models," Structural Change and Economic Dynamics, Elsevier, vol. 62(C), pages 492-511.
    10. Asadullah, M. Niaz & Xiao, Saizi, 2020. "The changing pattern of wage returns to education in post-reform China," Structural Change and Economic Dynamics, Elsevier, vol. 53(C), pages 137-148.
    11. Fang Chang & Wenbin Min & Yaojiang Shi & Kaleigh Kenny & Prashant Loyalka, 2016. "Educational Expectations and Dropout Behavior among Junior High Students in Rural China," China & World Economy, Institute of World Economics and Politics, Chinese Academy of Social Sciences, vol. 24(3), pages 67-85, May.
    12. Michael D. Intriligator, 2009. "Globalisation of the World Economy: Potential Benefits and Costs and a Net Assessment," Chapters, in: Linda Yueh (ed.), The Law and Economics of Globalisation, chapter 11, Edward Elgar Publishing.
    13. Kim, Jinhee & Lee, Keun, 2022. "Local–global interface as a key factor in the catching up of regional innovation systems: Fast versus slow catching up among Taipei, Shenzhen, and Penang in Asia," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 174(C).
    14. Daping Zhao & Sajid Anwar & W. Robert J. Alexander, 2022. "Sources of economic slowdown: A simultaneous equations approach," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 27(2), pages 2549-2565, April.
    15. Davide Fiaschi & Andrea Mario Lavezzi & Angela Parenti, 2020. "Deep and Proximate Determinants of the World Income Distribution," Review of Income and Wealth, International Association for Research in Income and Wealth, vol. 66(3), pages 677-710, September.
    16. Ignatius Abasimi & Long Vorlak & Agus Salim & Xuan Li, 2019. "Determinants of Export Service in Selected West African Countries," International Journal of Applied Economics, Finance and Accounting, Online Academic Press, vol. 5(2), pages 39-47.
    17. Fabrice Defever & Alejandro Riaño, 2016. "Protectionism through Exporting: Subsidies with Export Share Requirements in China," Discussion Papers 2016-03, University of Nottingham, GEP.
    18. Julia, Knolle, 2014. "An Empirical Comparison of Interest and Growth Rates," MPRA Paper 59520, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    19. Sahminan, 2005. "Interest Rates And The Role Of Exchange Rate Regimes In Major Southeast Asian Countries," Bulletin of Monetary Economics and Banking, Bank Indonesia, vol. 8(2), pages 141-180, September.
    20. Mahmoud A. El-Gamal & Deockhyun Ryu, 2013. "Nonstationarity and Stochastic Stability of Relative Income Clubs," Review of Income and Wealth, International Association for Research in Income and Wealth, vol. 59(4), pages 756-775, December.
    21. Alan V. DEARDORFF, 2016. "What Do We (and Others) Mean by “The Terms of Trade”?," Turkish Economic Review, KSP Journals, vol. 3(2), pages 281-291, June.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Weltwirtschaft; Wirtschaftswachstum; Weltwirtschaftspolitik; Außenwirtschaft; Internationale Handelspolitik; Asien; Lateinamerika;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • F01 - International Economics - - General - - - Global Outlook
    • F10 - International Economics - - Trade - - - General
    • F14 - International Economics - - Trade - - - Empirical Studies of Trade
    • O10 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Development - - - General

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:ces:ifosdt:v:66:y:2013:i:04:p:03-14. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Klaus Wohlrabe (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://edirc.repec.org/data/ifooode.html .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.