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Haushaltskonsolidierung: Sollte mit dem Ausstieg aus der Verschuldung erst nach Überwindung der Krise begonnen werden?

Author

Listed:
  • Hans Fehr
  • Wolfgang Scherf
  • Michael Eilfort
  • Guido Raddatz

Abstract

Die gegenwärtige Finanzkrise und die zu ihrer Eindämmung verabschiedeten staatlichen Hilfsprogramme treiben die Staatsschulden in die Höhe. Wann und mit welchen Maßnahmen sollte mit der Haushaltskonsolidierung begonnen werden? Nach Ansicht von Hans Fehr, Universität Würzburg, kann die Konsolidierung der öffentlichen Haushalte mit Steuersenkungen nicht gelingen. Soll das Ziel der Haushaltskonsolidierung bis 2016 erreicht werden, komme man um Kürzungen von Ausgaben nicht herum. So könnte z.B. die Sicherungsgarantie für Renten wieder aufgehoben oder bei den Subventionen gekürzt werden. Wolfgang Scherf, Universität Gießen, sieht die vorübergehend notwendigen zusätzlichen Defizite als Voraussetzung für eine nachfolgende wirtschaftliche und fiskalische Erholung. Deshalb gefährde ein »vorzeitiger Tritt auf die Schuldenbremse« beides. Er empfiehlt eine konjunkturpolitisch flexible Auslegung der »viel zu rigide konzipierten« neuen Schuldengrenze. Michael Eilfort und Guido Raddatz, Stiftung Marktwirtschaft, finden es dagegen gefährlich, die Konsolidierungsbemühungen auf die lange Bank zu schieben und den explizit ausgewiesenen Schuldenstand in Relation zum BIP stärker als unbedingt notwendig anwachsen zu lassen.

Suggested Citation

  • Hans Fehr & Wolfgang Scherf & Michael Eilfort & Guido Raddatz, 2009. "Haushaltskonsolidierung: Sollte mit dem Ausstieg aus der Verschuldung erst nach Überwindung der Krise begonnen werden?," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 62(21), pages 03-12, November.
    • Handle: RePEc:ces:ifosdt:v:62:y:2009:i:21:p:03-12
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Hauhaltskonsolidierung; Finanzmarktkrise; Öffentliche Schulden; Finanzpolitik; Steuersenkung; Deutschland;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E60 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Macroeconomic Policy, Macroeconomic Aspects of Public Finance, and General Outlook - - - General
    • H31 - Public Economics - - Fiscal Policies and Behavior of Economic Agents - - - Household
    • H50 - Public Economics - - National Government Expenditures and Related Policies - - - General

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