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Frankreich: Langsame Konjunkturerholung bei rasch steigendem Staatsdefizit

Author

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  • Oscar-Erich Kuntze

Abstract

Der konjunkturelle Schwung hat im Laufe des Jahres 2002 ständig abgenommen bis hin zur Stagnation im letzten Quartal. Das reale Bruttoinlandsprodukt (BIP) expandierte im Jahresdurchschnitt um 1,2%, die Arbeitslosenquote erhöhte sich auf 8,7%. Die Konsumentenpreise stiegen um 1,9%. 2003 dürfte das reale BIP um ¾% zunehmen, die Arbeitslosenquote wird auf 9½% steigen, und die Preise werden im Jahresdurchschnitt um ca. 2% über dem Niveau von 2002 liegen. 2004 könnte das reale BIP um 2% wachsen, die Arbeitslosenquote wird wahrscheinlich auf dem Niveau des Vorjahres bleiben, und die Konsumentenpreise dürften sich um 1¾% erhöhen.

Suggested Citation

  • Oscar-Erich Kuntze, 2003. "Frankreich: Langsame Konjunkturerholung bei rasch steigendem Staatsdefizit," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 56(16), pages 26-35, August.
    • Handle: RePEc:ces:ifosdt:v:56:y:2003:i:16:p:26-35
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Frankreich; Konjunktur; Wirtschaftswachstum; Wirtschaftspolitik; Entwicklung;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • O10 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Development - - - General

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