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Umsatzeinbußen dämpfen Investitionsneigung des Großhandels

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  • Arno Städtler

Abstract

Mit einem Umsatzrückgang von nominal 2 und real 3,5% erlebte der deutsche Großhandel im Jahr 2001 gegenüber 2000 einen herben Rückschlag. Der negative Trend, insbesondere ab September, setzte sich auch im laufenden Jahr fort. Die Umsätze gingen von Januar bis Mai 2002 weiter zurück, und zwar um 4,6 nominal und 4% real. Dafür ist insbesondere die schwache Binnenkonjunktur verantwortlich, der Außenhandel entwickelte sich günstiger. Die sich im zweiten Halbjahr langsam verbessernde konjunkturelle Situation wird auch im Großhandel zu einem wohl etwas günstigeren Umsatzverlauf führen als in den ersten beiden Quartalen; die Geschäftserwartungen nach dem ifo Konjunkturtest lassen bereits einen nachlassenden Pessimismus erkennen, für eine positive Wachstumsrate im Jahresdurchschnitt 2002 wird dies allerdings wohl nicht ausreichen.

Suggested Citation

  • Arno Städtler, 2002. "Umsatzeinbußen dämpfen Investitionsneigung des Großhandels," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 55(15), pages 45-47, August.
  • Handle: RePEc:ces:ifosdt:v:55:y:2002:i:15:p:45-47
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    1. Arno Städtler, 2002. "Einzelhandel: Rückläufige Umsätze und Investitionen," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 55(14), pages 37-40, July.
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      Keywords

      Großhandel; Geschäftsklima; Konjunktur; Konjunkturprognose; Umsatz; Deutschland;
      All these keywords.

      JEL classification:

      • L81 - Industrial Organization - - Industry Studies: Services - - - Retail and Wholesale Trade; e-Commerce

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